Do I ship it?

GamesPoint & ClickPoint & Click + Conspiracy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Conspiracy Point & Click game?

Point & Click + Conspiracy

Of 55 developers who shipped a Conspiracy Point & Click game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 127 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.2k, ×15 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $2.2M, ×4780 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 127 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 15.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 127 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Point & Click + Conspiracy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 55
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.0k → $1.8k → $3.2k → $5.8k → $599 → $26k → $4.9k (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Point & Click + Conspiracy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 55
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $7.2k (exactly $7,193)
Top 25% $45k (exactly $45,064)
Top 5% $2.3M (exactly $2,270,464)
Developers, 2 yr 55
Released games 173
Announced 127
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Conspiracy
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Point & Click; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Investigation, Puzzle
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 16,398 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $7.2k, 1 in 4 over $45k, 1 in 20 over $2.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 127 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Point & Click with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair50 devs · median $5.8k · 56 announced
  3. + Party-Based RPGFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  4. + Life SimFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  5. + Local MultiplayerFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  6. + MiningFair36 devs · median $1.9k · 39 announced
  7. + CookingFair68 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  8. + Escape RoomFair62 devs · median $1.8k · 51 announced
  9. + UnderwaterFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 20 announced
  10. + Local Co-OpFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 9 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  12. + Word GameFair60 devs · median $1.6k · 56 announced

All 200 pairs on the Point & Click page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Pentiment older $19.99 9,231 95% 277k $5.5M (exactly $5,535,831) Obsidian Entertainment
The Case of the Golden Idol older $17.99 9,794 97% 294k $5.3M (exactly $5,285,822) Color Gray Games
The Operator older $13.99 8,515 91% 255k $3.6M (exactly $3,573,746) Bureau 81
ZERO PARADES: For Dead Spies $39.99 2,911 83% 87k $3.5M (exactly $3,492,327) ZA/UM
The Drifter $19.99 4,735 97% 142k $2.8M (exactly $2,839,580) Powerhoof, Dave Lloyd
The Rise of the Golden Idol $19.99 3,786 92% 114k $2.3M (exactly $2,270,464) Color Gray Games
Tails Noir older $24.99 2,592 66% 78k $1.9M (exactly $1,943,222) Eggnut
Broken Sword 5 - the Serpent's Curse older $24.99 1,923 89% 58k $1.4M (exactly $1,441,673) Revolution Software Ltd
NORCO older $14.99 2,774 92% 83k $1.2M (exactly $1,247,468) Geography of Robots
Contradiction: Spot The Liar older $12.99 2,838 94% 85k $1.1M (exactly $1,105,969) Baggy Cat Ltd.
SHUTEN ORDER $49.99 712 80% 21k $1.1M (exactly $1,067,786) Neilo Inc.
Broken Sword - Shadow of the Templars: Reforged $29.99 954 93% 29k $858k (exactly $858,314) Revolution Software Ltd
Kathy Rain 2: Soothsayer $19.99 1,244 95% 37k $746k (exactly $746,027) Clifftop Games
Confidential Killings - A Detective Game $14.99 716 76% 21k $322k (exactly $321,985) BRANE, Lorenzo Boni
DAEMON MASQUERADE $14.99 514 95% 15k $231k (exactly $231,146) Callum Page
A Case of Fraud $8.99 540 97% 16k $146k (exactly $145,638) Hesperus Games
Rina's Undercover Train Operation $13.99 286 70% 8.6k $120k (exactly $120,034) Metamorphose

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.