Do I ship it?

GamesLooter ShooterLooter Shooter + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Looter Shooter?

Looter Shooter + Collectathon

Only 10 developers shipped a Collectathon Looter Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deadline Escape, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $13k against a market of $1.5k. 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 8.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 16085% on the market, 15 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Looter Shooter + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Looter Shooter + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $13k (exactly $12,529)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,526)
Top 5% $65k (exactly $64,820)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 31
Announced 15
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 16085% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Looter Shooter, Collectathon
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 81% positive over 682 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $13k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $64k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Looter Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair13 devs · median $219k · 14 announced
  2. + Vehicular CombatFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  4. + 3D PlatformerLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds54 devs · median $25k · 136 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds56 devs · median $25k · 124 announced
  8. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  9. + DystopianPoor odds14 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds36 devs · median $9.1k · 74 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds50 devs · median $9.0k · 151 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds27 devs · median $6.9k · 61 announced

All 90 pairs on the Looter Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Soundfall older $29.99 996 73% 30k $896k (exactly $896,101) Drastic Games
The Brew Barons older $21.99 828 75% 25k $546k (exactly $546,232) Lifetap Studios
Almighty: Kill Your Gods · EA older $24.99 321 61% 9.6k $241k (exactly $240,654) RUNWILD Entertainment
Deadline Escape · EA $4.99 433 84% 13k $65k (exactly $64,820) DeadlineEscape
Deadtime Defenders $9.99 48 79% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,386) Arcane Embers
Farming Incremental But With Guns $3.99 113 88% 3.4k $14k (exactly $13,526) Clementine Wolf Games
Duneborn $11.99 35 51% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,590) A.P Games
Wild Alone $10.99 38 47% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,529) Wild Alone 21
Hacker Man older $19.99 8 12% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) GamesBraz
Bank Robber older $2.99 47 68% 1.4k $4.2k (exactly $4,216) Softwaves
Seeker Quest: The Creature Collector $6.99 14 100% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Jestercraft
Silent Survivor: Under The Crisis $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Silent Dream
The Key $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Hetosoft Sistemas
Over Shooter $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Chilled Out Duck Games
another game ahhh! situation $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) pixelitstudios, pixelitstudios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.