Do I ship it?

GamesCo-opCo-op + Walking Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Walking Simulator?

Co-op + Walking Simulator

Of 59 developers who shipped a Co-op Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 92 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×1.1 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×831 the market median. Revenue is up 310% on the market; 92 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 310% on the market, 92 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Walking Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 59
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $14k → $16k → $719 → $2.2k → $1.2k → $2.7k (still earning) → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op + Walking Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 59
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $15,419)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,245,577)
Developers, 2 yr 59
Released games 172
Announced 92
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 310% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op, Walking Simulator; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Online Co-Op
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 24,189 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 7 in 10 of the 36 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 92 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
theHunter: Call of the Wild™ older $19.99 170,472 89% 5.1M $102M (exactly $102,232,058) Expansive Worlds
The Isle · EA older $19.99 111,397 80% 3.3M $67M (exactly $66,804,781) Afterthought LLC
The Long Dark older $19.99 110,264 89% 3.3M $66M (exactly $66,125,321) Hinterland Studio Inc.
Outlast older $14.99 104,353 96% 3.1M $47M (exactly $46,927,544) Red Barrels
Miscreated older $29.99 23,050 66% 692k $21M (exactly $20,738,085) Entrada Interactive LLC
Journey older $14.99 34,805 94% 1.0M $16M (exactly $15,651,808) thatgamecompany
LEGO® Worlds older $29.99 12,487 77% 375k $11M (exactly $11,234,554) TT Games, Traveller's Tales
港詭實錄ParanormalHK older $12.99 18,874 89% 566k $7.4M (exactly $7,355,198) Ghostpie Studio
Viscera Cleanup Detail older $12.99 18,053 92% 542k $7.0M (exactly $7,035,254) RuneStorm
Cube World older $19.99 9,885 42% 297k $5.9M (exactly $5,928,034) Picroma
Longvinter $19.99 6,951 68% 209k $4.2M (exactly $4,168,515) Uuvana Studios
Fears to Fathom® - Scratch Creek $7.99 7,141 75% 214k $1.7M (exactly $1,711,698) Rayll
Ultimate Fishing® Simulator 2 $19.99 2,077 66% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,245,577) Silent Bear Studio, SHINING GAMES
DON'T SCREAM TOGETHER $7.99 2,314 49% 69k $555k (exactly $554,666) Digital Cybercherries
The Cabin Factory $2.99 3,455 90% 104k $310k (exactly $309,914) International Cat Studios
Ranger’s Path: National Park Simulator · EA $19.99 446 76% 13k $267k (exactly $267,466) To-Go Games
BULT: Hunting simulator · EA $9.99 869 87% 26k $260k (exactly $260,439) Nordrise
Virtual Hunter $24.99 173 71% 5.2k $130k (exactly $129,698) Korpi Games Oy
The Anomaly Project $7.99 531 81% 16k $127k (exactly $127,281) Kekdot
Friendly Steps $7.99 232 65% 7.0k $56k (exactly $55,610) KORO.GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.