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Should I ship a Co-op Visual Novel?
Co-op + Visual Novel
Only 6 developers shipped a Co-op Visual Novel in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Immortal Hunters, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×35 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $4.9k against a market of $1.5k. 35 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.9k (exactly $4,940) |
| Top 25% | $12k (exactly $11,527) |
| Top 5% | $57k (exactly $56,971) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 50 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 85% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Co-op
- effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Co-op, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 76% positive over 29,737 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 5 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×35 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Co-op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SuperheroFair
- + Boomer ShooterFair
- + GamblingFair
- + NinjaFair
- + TypingLong shot
- + Word GameLong shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet | older | $19.99 | 15,461 79% | 464k | $9.3M (exactly $9,271,962) | Dimps Corporation |
| | Sword Art Online: Hollow Realization Deluxe Edition | older | $39.99 | 5,731 78% | 172k | $6.9M (exactly $6,875,481) | AQURIA |
| | SWORD ART ONLINE Alicization Lycoris | older | $19.99 | 5,017 61% | 151k | $3.0M (exactly $3,008,695) | AQURIA Co., Ltd. |
| | Escape Academy | older | $19.99 | 1,105 86% | 33k | $663k (exactly $662,668) | Coin Crew Games |
| | The Yawhg | older | $9.99 | 1,131 84% | 34k | $339k (exactly $338,961) | Damian Sommer, Emily Carroll |
| | Astatos | · EA older | $14.99 | 298 82% | 8.9k | $134k (exactly $134,011) | Studio Klondike Australia |
| | Royal Defense | older | $14.99 | 246 70% | 7.4k | $111k (exactly $110,626) | Good Games, Creobit |
| | Fort Defense | older | $14.99 | 232 78% | 7.0k | $104k (exactly $104,330) | Creobit |
| | looK INside - Chapter 1 | older | $7.99 | 421 86% | 13k | $101k (exactly $100,914) | Unexpected |
| | Immortal Hunters | $19.99 | 95 67% | 2.9k | $57k (exactly $56,971) | Admiral Games | |
| | Soul Stalker | $4.99 | 77 77% | 2.3k | $12k (exactly $11,527) | Radhood, Conradical Games | |
| | Market Simulator | $4.99 | 33 75% | 990 | $4.9k (exactly $4,940) | KOZGAMES | |
| | 100 Cats Lost In World Find & Color | $4.99 | 28 96% | 840 | $4.2k (exactly $4,192) | Two Cats Games | |
| | 100 Cats Lost In Space Find & Color | $7.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $2.6k (exactly $2,637) | Two Cats Games | |
| | 100 Cats Lost In USA Find & Color | $3.99 | 11 81% | 330 | $1.3k (exactly $1,317) | Two Cats Games | |
| | 100 Cats Lost In World 2 Find & Color | · EA | $4.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Two Cats Games |
| | Aeonic | $4.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | dev | |
| | Endless Salvation | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 炉火绘题本 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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