Do I ship it?

GamesCo-opCo-op + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Co-op game?

Co-op + Supernatural

Of 86 developers who shipped a Supernatural Co-op game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 183 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.7k, ×3.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $610k, ×414 the market median. Revenue is up 205% on the market; 183 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 205% on the market, 183 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 86
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.2k → $7.6k → $17k → $6.6k → $5.7k → $9.6k → $5.3k (still earning) → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 86
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $5.7k (exactly $5,689)
Top 25% $69k (exactly $69,273)
Top 5% $620k (exactly $619,864)
Developers, 2 yr 86
Released games 190
Announced 183
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 205% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Online Co-Op, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Dark, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 19,966 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $5.7k, 1 in 4 over $69k, 1 in 20 over $610k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 7 in 10 of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 183 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Phasmophobia · EA older $19.99 684,009 94% 21M $410M (exactly $410,200,197) Kinetic Games
BIGFOOT · EA older $19.99 17,818 83% 535k $11M (exactly $10,685,455) CyberLight Game Studio
John Carpenter's Toxic Commando $39.99 6,274 72% 188k $7.5M (exactly $7,526,918) Saber Interactive
The Darkness II older $29.99 8,204 91% 246k $7.4M (exactly $7,381,139) Digital Extremes
The Dark Pictures Anthology: House of Ashes older $29.99 7,360 89% 221k $6.6M (exactly $6,621,792) Supermassive Games
Pacify older $4.99 32,921 86% 988k $4.9M (exactly $4,928,274) Shawn Hitchcock
The Dark Pictures Anthology: Little Hope older $19.99 7,202 74% 216k $4.3M (exactly $4,319,039) Supermassive Games
Labyrinthine older $9.99 13,779 84% 413k $4.1M (exactly $4,129,566) Valko Game Studios
Midnight Ghost Hunt older $19.99 5,420 80% 163k $3.3M (exactly $3,250,374) Vaulted Sky Games
Redfall older $39.99 2,460 40% 74k $3.0M (exactly $2,951,262) Arkane Austin
FBC: Firebreak $19.99 1,985 65% 60k $1.2M (exactly $1,190,404) Remedy Entertainment
Dark Hours $9.99 3,481 81% 104k $1.0M (exactly $1,043,256) Piece of Cake studios
Folklore Hunter $17.99 1,217 75% 37k $657k (exactly $656,815) Liquid Donkey Games
Scarlet Idol $7.99 2,586 66% 78k $620k (exactly $619,864) 山雨工作室
Active Matter $29.99 522 75% 16k $470k (exactly $469,643) Matter Team
Section 13 $19.99 770 70% 23k $462k (exactly $461,769) Ocean Drive Studio, Inc.
Paranoia Place: Escape Together $7.99 1,555 87% 47k $373k (exactly $372,734) Bloody Pixel Games
RIFTSTORM · EA $14.99 659 70% 20k $296k (exactly $296,352) Confiction Labs, Agate
Ghost Janitors $9.99 917 87% 28k $275k (exactly $274,825) Interactive Wave Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.