Do I ship it?

GamesCo-opCo-op + On-Rails Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op On-Rails Shooter?

Co-op + On-Rails Shooter

Only 6 developers shipped a Co-op On-Rails Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, THE HOUSE OF THE DEAD 2: Remake, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $16k against a market of $1.5k. 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 10.8 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 9 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + On-Rails Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Co-op + On-Rails Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $989 (exactly $989)
Median $16k (exactly $16,189)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $17,498)
Top 5% $455k (exactly $455,068)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 25
Announced 9
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
On-Rails Shooter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op, On-Rails Shooter
Price point
$10.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 9,095 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $990, median $16k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $450k.

3 in 10 developers made under $990. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
THE HOUSE OF THE DEAD: Remake older $24.99 2,703 68% 81k $2.0M (exactly $2,026,439) MegaPixel Studio S. A.
The Typing of The Dead: Overkill older $19.99 2,782 87% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,668,365) Modern Dream
Blue Estate The Game older $12.99 1,515 92% 45k $590k (exactly $590,396) HE SAW
THE HOUSE OF THE DEAD 2: Remake $24.99 607 44% 18k $455k (exactly $455,068) MegaPixel Studio S. A.
New Retro Arcade: Neon older $19.99 579 78% 17k $347k (exactly $347,226) Digital Cybercherries
Beach Invasion 1945 - Pacific older $9.99 255 78% 7.7k $76k (exactly $76,424) AIx2 Games
Walking Zombie: Shooter older $4.99 449 75% 13k $67k (exactly $67,215) Alda Games
Miner's Mettle older $24.99 72 58% 2.2k $54k (exactly $53,978) Singular Scheme
Lichtspeer: Double Speer Edition older $9.99 69 81% 2.1k $21k (exactly $20,679) Lichthund
Dead Containment · EA older $9.99 64 92% 1.9k $19k (exactly $19,181) Grump Dog Games
Beach Invasion 1915-Gallipoli $7.99 73 71% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,498) AIx2 Games
Aaero2 $14.99 36 94% 1.1k $16k (exactly $16,189) Mad Fellows
Air Hares $8.99 14 100% 420 $3.8k (exactly $3,776) Wondoro LLC
Lock Down · EA $10.99 3 33% 90 $989 (exactly $989) Clinton Hughes
Halloween Candy Reclaim $5.99 4 100% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Sourcenity

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.