Should I ship a Noir Co-op game?
Co-op + Noir
Only 11 developers shipped a Noir Co-op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, In Sink: A Co-op Escape Adventure, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×2.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $640k, ×430 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) |
| Top 25% | $20k (exactly $20,380) |
| Top 5% | $644k (exactly $643,970) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Co-op
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 6 games average 82% positive over 1,905 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Co-op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SuperheroFair
- + Boomer ShooterFair
- + GamblingFair
- + NinjaFair
- + TypingLong shot
- + Word GameLong shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Max Payne 3 | older | $19.99 | 55,150 86% | 1.7M | $33M (exactly $33,073,455) | Rockstar Studios |
| | In Sink: A Co-op Escape Adventure | $14.99 | 1,432 86% | 43k | $644k (exactly $643,970) | Clock Out Games | |
| | Hellbreach: Vegas | older | $14.99 | 504 74% | 15k | $227k (exactly $226,649) | Infinity Ape Studios |
| | Midnight Murder Club | $9.99 | 304 71% | 9.1k | $91k (exactly $91,109) | Velan Studios | |
| | Floor44 | older | $9.99 | 126 70% | 3.8k | $38k (exactly $37,762) | Glen Games |
| | Antioch: Scarlet Bay | older | $4.99 | 220 78% | 6.6k | $33k (exactly $32,934) | Midnight Mood Studio |
| | Signal Ops | older | $9.99 | 81 69% | 2.4k | $24k (exactly $24,276) | Space Bullet Dynamics Corporation |
| | Cthulhu's Reach: Devil Reef | $9.99 | 68 80% | 2.0k | $20k (exactly $20,380) | The Fine Arc | |
| | DeTechtive 2112 | $10.99 | 60 46% | 1.8k | $20k (exactly $19,782) | M11 Studio | |
| | Killer in the cabin | older | $6.99 | 46 80% | 1.4k | $9.6k (exactly $9,646) | Games People Play |
| | Hellwatch | $9.99 | 27 44% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | FG | |
| | RAZE | $9.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | RAZE CLUB | |
| | Light of the Eternal Night | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Deva | |
| | 信任崩塌(Trust collapse) | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | b站@把竹节虫当折耳根吃了 | |
| | Tab + Notch | · EA | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | HATCHgames |
| | Hentai Senpai: Noir Vice | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Kink Master Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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