Do I ship it?

Games › Co-op › Co-op + Naval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Naval Co-op game?

Co-op + Naval

Only 10 developers shipped a Naval Co-op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Seafarer: The Ship Sim, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $21k, ×14 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $680; 1 in 20 cleared $2.0M, ×1346 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 29 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Naval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Co-op + Naval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $674 (exactly $674)
Median $21k (exactly $20,509)
Top 25% $240k (exactly $240,480)
Top 5% $2.0M (exactly $2,016,474)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 37
Announced 29
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Naval
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 70% positive over 3,762 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $680, median $21k, 1 in 4 over $240k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $680. 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition 2020 · $386M Barotrauma 2023 · $65M Wargame: Red Dragon 2014 · $14M Assassin’s Creed® Rogue 2015 · $13M Total War: NAPOLEON – Definitive Edition 2010 · $11M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition older $39.99 322,072 88% 9.7M $386M (exactly $386,389,778) Rare Ltd
Barotrauma older $34.99 61,905 94% 1.9M $65M (exactly $64,981,678) FakeFish, Undertow Games
Wargame: Red Dragon older $29.99 15,758 88% 473k $14M (exactly $14,177,473) Eugen Systems
Assassin’s Creed® Rogue older $19.99 21,310 86% 639k $13M (exactly $12,779,607) Ubisoft Sofia, Ubisoft Kiev
Total War: NAPOLEON – Definitive Edition older $19.99 18,004 91% 540k $11M (exactly $10,796,999) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (M… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Mac))
Battlefleet Gothic: Armada 2 older $19.99 9,701 74% 291k $5.8M (exactly $5,817,690) Tindalos Interactive
Skull and Bones older $29.99 4,650 65% 140k $4.2M (exactly $4,183,605) Ubisoft Singapore
Blazing Sails older $14.99 8,361 87% 251k $3.8M (exactly $3,759,942) Get Up Games, Iceberg Interactive
Ship of Fools older $21.99 5,040 82% 151k $3.3M (exactly $3,324,888) Fika Productions
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
Seafarer: The Ship Sim · EA $34.99 1,921 64% 58k $2.0M (exactly $2,016,474) astragon Development
Darkwater $9.99 989 77% 30k $296k (exactly $296,403) Targon Studios
Windward Horizon $19.99 401 79% 12k $240k (exactly $240,480) Tasharen Entertainment Inc.
Water You Doing? $7.99 294 59% 8.8k $70k (exactly $70,472) DiSolve Studios
FULL METAL COFFIN $4.99 137 94% 4.1k $21k (exactly $20,509) Titanite, Mantle Array, Xenith
Fuel Cell · EA $9.99 8 100% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Efshapo
Nightmariners $4.49 5 80% 150 $674 (exactly $674) Ocean's Call Studios
Piece of Ship · EA $3.99 5 80% 150 $598 (exactly $598) r-sky
Line of Fire - Pirate Waltz · EA $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Ige Olwen
Skull Port $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) GD Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.