Do I ship it?

GamesCo-opCo-op + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Logic game?

Co-op + Logic

Of 79 developers who shipped a Co-op Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 105 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×0.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $790k, ×533 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 105 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 105 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 79
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.2k → $748 → $4.6k → $4.7k → $4.0k → $1.9k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 79
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,166)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $17,405)
Top 5% $798k (exactly $797,940)
Developers, 2 yr 79
Released games 231
Announced 105
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op, Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Online Co-Op, Puzzle, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 22,147 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $790k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 39 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 105 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stationeers · EA older $34.99 8,597 88% 258k $9.0M (exactly $9,024,271) RocketWerkz
Mars First Logistics $19.99 3,497 94% 105k $2.1M (exactly $2,097,151) Shape Shop
Oddsparks: An Automation Adventure $29.99 1,867 82% 56k $1.7M (exactly $1,679,740) Massive Miniteam
Alchemy Factory $17.99 2,529 87% 76k $1.4M (exactly $1,364,901) D5 Copperhead
Good Company older $24.99 1,480 73% 44k $1.1M (exactly $1,109,556) Chasing Carrots
THE 4 SINS older $9.99 3,377 23% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,087) 奇门互娱
TerraScape older $14.99 2,068 88% 62k $930k (exactly $929,980) Bitfall Studios
Guilty as Sock! $5.50 4,836 89% 145k $798k (exactly $797,940) Demon Max
Brickadia · EA $19.99 1,269 81% 38k $761k (exactly $761,019) Brickadia, LLC
In Sink: A Co-op Escape Adventure $14.99 1,432 86% 43k $644k (exactly $643,970) Clock Out Games
The Cabin Factory $2.99 3,455 90% 104k $310k (exactly $309,914) International Cat Studios
Data Center $8.99 916 76% 27k $247k (exactly $247,045) Waseku
Rhythia · EA $3.99 2,029 83% 61k $243k (exactly $242,871) Capo Games
Tower Networking Inc. · EA $19.99 317 95% 9.5k $190k (exactly $190,105) Pocosia Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.