Do I ship it?

GamesCo-opCo-op + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Interactive Fiction?

Co-op + Interactive Fiction

Only 12 developers shipped a Co-op Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Shift At Midnight, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300. 24 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper, while revenue is flat on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 24 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $9.0k → $719
Outcomes for Co-op + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $27k (exactly $26,775)
Top 5% $3.0M (exactly $3,041,056)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 39
Announced 24
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 11,282 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $720, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $3.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hobo: Tough Life older $29.99 8,679 84% 260k $7.8M (exactly $7,808,496) Perun Creative
Shift At Midnight $9.99 10,147 88% 304k $3.0M (exactly $3,041,056) Bun Muen
King Of The Castle older $9.99 1,403 90% 42k $420k (exactly $420,479) Tributary Games
The Yawhg older $9.99 1,131 84% 34k $339k (exactly $338,961) Damian Sommer, Emily Carroll
Eyes: The Horror Game older $4.99 923 90% 28k $138k (exactly $138,173) Fearless Games
Chained in the Backrooms · EA $2.99 933 68% 28k $84k (exactly $83,690) Task+ Studios
Princess Farmer older $14.99 125 96% 3.8k $56k (exactly $56,212) Samobee Games
World Wide Hack · EA older $16.99 69 60% 2.1k $35k (exactly $35,169) Lotus Innovations
Antioch: Scarlet Bay older $4.99 220 78% 6.6k $33k (exactly $32,934) Midnight Mood Studio
Mad Experiments: Escape Room 2 older $12.99 69 65% 2.1k $27k (exactly $26,889) PlayTogether Studio
EXPEDITION TO THE BACKROOMS · EA $5.99 149 65% 4.5k $27k (exactly $26,775) 1_Cutter_1
Fofumia $15.99 21 85% 630 $10k (exactly $10,074) Actoon Studio
Fizz Quiz $14.99 20 50% 600 $9.0k (exactly $8,994) Moon
The Storyteller $5.99 4 100% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Ferrari Dev
ASTROSMASH 1981 $4.99 4 0% 120 $599 (exactly $599) BBG Entertainment GmbH
Beyond the Soil: Farming & Tales $12.99 1 0% 30 $390 (exactly $390) Mavi Game Lab
Aeonic $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) dev
Tales In Text: Multiplayer Immersive Adventures $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Synthetic Mind Corp.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.