Do I ship it?

GamesCo-opCo-op + Grid-Based Movement

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Grid-Based Movement game?

Co-op + Grid-Based Movement

Only 15 developers shipped a Co-op Grid-Based Movement game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×1.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×742 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 36 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 36 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Grid-Based Movement
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $748 → $4.8k → $6.5k → $239 (still earning) → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op + Grid-Based Movement: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,246)
Top 25% $6.5k (exactly $6,472)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 54
Announced 36
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op, Grid-Based Movement
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 2,018 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $6.4k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked $29.99 1,235 82% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) Resolution Games
Warside $24.99 547 68% 16k $410k (exactly $410,086) LAVABIRD
Death Crown older $12.99 516 89% 15k $201k (exactly $201,085) 5WORD Team
Fire & Maneuver older $9.99 281 68% 8.4k $84k (exactly $84,216) Armchair Interactive, Targon Studios
Cats Love Boxes older $3.99 432 97% 13k $52k (exactly $51,710) Devcats
2 Fights in 2 Tight Spaces · EA $12.99 115 84% 3.5k $45k (exactly $44,816) Ground Shatter
Swords and Sorcery - Underworld - Definitive Edition older $9.99 93 72% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) OlderBytes
World Seed Classic older $5.99 100 92% 3.0k $18k (exactly $17,970) Kortes
Burgle Bros. older $3.99 55 83% 1.7k $6.6k (exactly $6,584) Fowers Games
Heroic Aegisio: Origins $7.99 27 77% 810 $6.5k (exactly $6,472) Vview Games
SusDoku: Clues & Suspects $4.99 37 35% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) MyNeuronal
Double Trip $4.99 32 100% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) MaxyLAND
The Dungeon Of Horror $14.99 5 100% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) KiberKreker
Ancient TD $4.99 15 60% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,246) Ancient TD
Gemima $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) FunLittleGames LTD
RPG System $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) J&V ENTERTAINMENT LTDA

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.