Do I ship it?

GamesCo-opCo-op + Dating Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Dating Sim?

Co-op + Dating Sim

Only 4 developers shipped a Co-op Dating Sim in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 6 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $8.5k against a market of $1.5k. 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 11 announced, ×11 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Dating Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Co-op + Dating Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $8.5k (exactly $8,499)
Top 25% $38k (exactly $38,302)
Top 5% $241M (exactly $241,120,505)
Developers, 4 yr 6
Released games 26
Announced 11
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 35%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Dating Sim
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op, Dating Sim
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 10 games average 56% positive over 243,425 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $8.5k, 1 in 4 over $38k, 1 in 20 over $240M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 11 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Monster Hunter Wilds $39.99 200,984 52% 6.0M $241M (exactly $241,120,505) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III older $39.99 14,436 50% 433k $17M (exactly $17,318,869) Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive… (Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
港詭實錄ParanormalHK older $12.99 18,874 89% 566k $7.4M (exactly $7,355,198) Ghostpie Studio
Sword Art Online: Hollow Realization Deluxe Edition older $39.99 5,731 78% 172k $6.9M (exactly $6,875,481) AQURIA
Divinity: Dragon Commander older $39.99 1,976 73% 59k $2.4M (exactly $2,370,607) Larian Studios
Thrillville®: Off the Rails™ older $9.99 814 93% 24k $244k (exactly $243,956) Frontier
JUMANJI: The Video Game older $29.99 66 53% 2.0k $59k (exactly $59,380) Funsolve LTD
KunKun dream Startles the Soul older $2.99 427 79% 13k $38k (exactly $38,302) AIKUN
Cricket Captain 2022 older $8.99 46 60% 1.4k $12k (exactly $12,406) Childish Things Ltd
Alien Agent X · EA $3.99 71 57% 2.1k $8.5k (exactly $8,499) SGALIEN.Software.US
Aeonic $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) dev
Illustack $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Subaiism

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.