Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Life Sim?

Life Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure

Of 210 developers who shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 331 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.7k, ×7.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×852 the market median. Revenue is up 110% on the market; 331 games are announced against 124 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 110% on the market, 331 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 210
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $18k → $8.7k → $4.8k → $7.7k → $2.8k → $12k → $3.6k (still earning) → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 210
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $3.7k (exactly $3,748)
Top 25% $35k (exactly $35,439)
Top 5% $405k (exactly $404,639)
Developers, 2 yr 210
Released games 604
Announced 331
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 110% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim, Choose Your Own Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Choices Matter, Visual Novel
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 3D, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 42,294 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $3.7k, 1 in 4 over $35k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 7 in 10 of the 131 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 331 games are announced against 124 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Disney Dreamlight Valley older $39.99 22,027 92% 661k $26M (exactly $26,425,792) Gameloft
House Party older $24.99 13,968 85% 419k $10M (exactly $10,471,810) Eek! Games, LLC
Mon Bazou $15.99 19,922 97% 598k $9.6M (exactly $9,556,583) Santa Goat
Yes, Your Grace older $19.99 12,571 87% 377k $7.5M (exactly $7,538,829) Brave At Night
60 Seconds! Reatomized older $9.99 18,362 94% 551k $5.5M (exactly $5,503,091) Robot Gentleman
Magical Princess $14.99 7,636 96% 229k $3.4M (exactly $3,433,909) Neotro Inc., MAGI Inc.
I Was a Teenage Exocolonist older $24.99 4,443 96% 133k $3.3M (exactly $3,330,917) Northway Games
School Days $14.99 6,023 77% 181k $2.7M (exactly $2,708,543) 白雨工作室
Growing Up older $14.99 3,465 87% 104k $1.6M (exactly $1,558,210) Vile Monarch
CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience older $19.99 2,596 91% 78k $1.6M (exactly $1,556,821) Delve Interactive
Yes, Your Grace 2: Snowfall $24.99 1,488 76% 45k $1.1M (exactly $1,115,554) Brave At Night
The Life and Suffering of Prince Jerian $24.99 1,356 74% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593) Schisma Games
Princess Maker: Children of Revelation · EA $34.99 853 85% 26k $895k (exactly $895,394) GEAR2
Politics The Game $9.99 2,526 95% 76k $757k (exactly $757,042) Simplicity Games
Quadrober Simulator $29.99 684 79% 21k $615k (exactly $615,395) PropilGames
To Pixelia $14.99 1,194 73% 36k $537k (exactly $536,942) Pixeduo Studios
Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator · EA $24.99 612 81% 18k $459k (exactly $458,816) Contec Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.