Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Choose Your Own Adventure

Of 27 developers who shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Creature Collector in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×3.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×328 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 45 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 45 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $16k → $3.1k → $479 → $3.3k → $3.2k → $300 → $53k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $297 (exactly $297)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,915)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,395)
Top 5% $206k (exactly $205,963)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 73
Announced 45
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector, Choose Your Own Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Simulation, Adventure
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Relaxing, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 1,368 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mamon King $12.99 603 90% 18k $235k (exactly $234,989) LiTMUS Co., Ltd.
Lugh World · EA $14.99 458 68% 14k $206k (exactly $205,963) Lughsoft
Athenian Rhapsody older $14.99 320 91% 9.6k $144k (exactly $143,904) Nico Papalia
Forgotten Realms: The Archives - Collection One older $9.99 283 92% 8.5k $85k (exactly $84,815) Westwood Associates, Strategic Simulati… (Westwood Associates, Strategic Simulations)
Hole Dweller older $7.99 260 96% 7.8k $62k (exactly $62,322) Thigh High Games
Pawsome Resort · EA $11.99 147 83% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,876) Pixel Puffs
Kaichu - The Kaiju Dating Sim older $9.99 87 88% 2.6k $26k (exactly $26,074) Squiddershins
你农哦农-Need Know What Know older $4.99 134 85% 4.0k $20k (exactly $20,060) Kwing works
100 hidden eternals older $0.99 624 92% 19k $19k (exactly $18,533) Anatoliy Loginovskikh
Sex with a Vampire 🧛‍♂️❤️ older $6.99 83 57% 2.5k $17k (exactly $17,405) Metroneck
Wild Alone $10.99 38 47% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,529) Wild Alone 21
Damsels in Distress $8.99 36 83% 1.1k $9.7k (exactly $9,709) Anime Mania
Cosmic Coop $7.99 32 78% 960 $7.7k (exactly $7,670) Omnivorian
Platform 6 ONLINE | 6番線オンライン協力異変探し $9.99 18 83% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) MFC STUDIO, SHINISE GAMES, KOSEI YASUDA
D.A.M. Champion $9.99 13 84% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Ikari Creative
Forsaken Valley $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) KineticFox
Idyllic cats: Japan $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) GameRED indie

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.