Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Choices Matter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Choices Matter

Of 53 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Creature Collector in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 98 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×328 the market median. Revenue is up 90% on the market; 98 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 90% on the market, 98 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Choices Matter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 53
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.5k → $4.5k → $13k → $3.9k → $1.2k → $1.8k → $3.8k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Choices Matter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 53
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,794)
Top 25% $7.2k (exactly $7,195)
Top 5% $206k (exactly $205,963)
Developers, 2 yr 53
Released games 103
Announced 98
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 90% on the market, supply 95% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector, Choices Matter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Strategy
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 3,538 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $7.1k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 98 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shin Megami Tensei V: Vengeance older $59.99 7,858 91% 236k $14M (exactly $14,142,043) ATLUS
Shin Megami Tensei III Nocturne HD Remaster older $49.99 3,989 87% 120k $6.0M (exactly $5,982,303) ATLUS
LumenTale: Memories of Trey $24.99 1,130 70% 34k $847k (exactly $847,161) Beehive Studios
Cat God Ranch older $9.99 1,831 92% 55k $549k (exactly $548,751) CrazyPotato Studio
JASON, Coming of Age $14.99 1,213 83% 36k $545k (exactly $545,486) Coeur de cochon
My Lovely Wife older $14.99 685 74% 21k $308k (exactly $308,044) GameChanger Studio, Toge Productions
Tavern of Gods older $9.99 775 77% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Element Studio
Lugh World · EA $14.99 458 68% 14k $206k (exactly $205,963) Lughsoft
Start an egg · EA older $15.99 332 77% 10k $159k (exactly $159,260) Ting Game
Athenian Rhapsody older $14.99 320 91% 9.6k $144k (exactly $143,904) Nico Papalia
Monster Crown: Sin Eater $24.99 170 85% 5.1k $127k (exactly $127,449) Studio Aurum
Bonnie Bear Saves Frogtime $16.99 143 98% 4.3k $73k (exactly $72,887) Bonte Avond
Voidsayer $14.99 91 69% 2.7k $41k (exactly $40,923) Pavel Auseitasau
Gold and Graves $5.99 180 86% 5.4k $32k (exactly $32,346) Yoon
The Wide Open Sky is Running out of Catfish $14.99 57 100% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) ZIPIT! Games
Broken Alliance · EA $14.99 42 80% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Placeholder Gameworks
Stuff It! $9.99 54 87% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) BONNISOFT

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.