Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzlePuzzle + Chess

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Chess Puzzle game?

Puzzle + Chess

Of 46 developers who shipped a Chess Puzzle game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×5.0 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $60. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 43 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 43 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle + Chess
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 46
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $959 → $6.5k → $25k → $90 → $598 → $1.1k (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Puzzle + Chess: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 46
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 5% $9.0k (exactly $8,991)
Developers, 2 yr 46
Released games 147
Announced 43
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 155% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data
Chess
effort 1 / 10 · high · fully specified rules and known engines

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Puzzle, Chess; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Board Game, Grid-Based Movement
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 385 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $600, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $8.9k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair57 devs · median $8.2k · 53 announced
  2. + Medical SimFair17 devs · median $6.1k · 27 announced
  3. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair40 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair161 devs · median $1.8k · 150 announced
  5. + VampiresFair46 devs · median $1.7k · 37 announced
  6. + CatsFair281 devs · median $1.2k · 334 announced
  7. + DemonsFair233 devs · median $1.2k · 248 announced
  8. + God GameFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  9. + RomanceFair209 devs · median $1.0k · 251 announced
  10. + AutomationFair135 devs · median $1.0k · 164 announced
  11. + Tower DefenseFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 67 announced
  12. + LemmingsFair13 devs · median $959 · 11 announced

All 246 pairs on the Puzzle page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel older $11.99 8,097 96% 243k $2.9M (exactly $2,912,491) Conor Petersen, Thunkspace, LLC
Still There older $14.99 770 87% 23k $346k (exactly $346,269) GhostShark
King of the Bridge older $2.99 1,667 95% 50k $150k (exactly $149,530) Finn Schuuring
Pawnbarian older $9.99 450 91% 14k $135k (exactly $134,865) j4nw
Pure Chess Grandmaster Edition older $15.99 233 74% 7.0k $112k (exactly $111,770) Ripstone
Dark Chess older $12.99 155 76% 4.7k $60k (exactly $60,404) Tall Troll Games
Egyptian Senet older $9.99 200 81% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) Ezzat Studios
Chessaria: The Tactical Adventure (Chess) older $19.99 99 74% 3.0k $59k (exactly $59,370) Pixel Wizards
Chessarama older $14.99 121 90% 3.6k $54k (exactly $54,414) Minimol Games
Chessplosion older $11.99 140 95% 4.2k $50k (exactly $50,358) C.T. Matthews
WizardChess $14.99 56 83% 1.7k $25k (exactly $25,183) TwoPM Studios
Chess Infinity $9.99 84 63% 2.5k $25k (exactly $25,175) Rockwater Games
PANIK $9.99 30 100% 900 $9.0k (exactly $8,991) ChumasGames
Who Takes The Crown? $7.99 37 83% 1.1k $8.9k (exactly $8,869) devthedoug
Chess Kingdom $4.99 45 91% 1.4k $6.7k (exactly $6,736) Pinch Games
Mate'Morphosis $2.99 49 95% 1.5k $4.4k (exactly $4,395) WiseMonkeES, Bruder Studio
Chess, Texas $4.99 27 81% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Studio Apollo
Black Pieces Move First $6.99 14 92% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Enchant Games
The Board is Yours $2.50 38 97% 1.1k $2.9k (exactly $2,850) Draelent
Chaos Pieces $11.99 5 100% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Suzuki Ken

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.