Do I ship it?

GamesTower DefenseTower Defense + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Tower Defense?

Tower Defense + Cats

Only 16 developers shipped a Cat Tower Defense in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Epic Auto Towers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×6.2 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×727 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 30 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 30 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tower Defense + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Tower Defense + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $2.9k (exactly $2,936)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $15,285)
Top 5% $345k (exactly $345,370)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 38
Announced 30
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tower Defense
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Tower Defense
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 1,153 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $2.9k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tower Defense with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DwarvesStrong odds10 devs · median $6.7k · 9 announced
  2. + MiningFair33 devs · median $6.3k · 45 announced
  3. + Survival HorrorFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 20 announced
  5. + TanksFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  6. + MechsFair24 devs · median $1.5k · 24 announced
  7. + IdlerFair108 devs · median $1.2k · 136 announced
  8. + PuzzleFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 67 announced
  9. + Gun CustomizationFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  10. + LogicFair40 devs · median $955 · 44 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterFair11 devs · median $899 · 12 announced
  12. + Psychological HorrorFair8 devs · median $897 · 8 announced

All 150 pairs on the Tower Defense page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Epic Auto Towers · EA $14.99 768 70% 23k $345k (exactly $345,370) Aleksandr Golovkin
Kittypocalypse older $14.99 193 88% 5.8k $87k (exactly $86,792) Bolverk Games
The Chronicles of Nyanya older $19.99 79 92% 2.4k $47k (exactly $47,376) hamstercube
Cats on Duty older $9.99 142 90% 4.3k $43k (exactly $42,557) Prikol Team
Claws Of Power $6.99 170 80% 5.1k $36k (exactly $35,649) 蒜苗
Fort Meow older $7.99 145 92% 4.4k $35k (exactly $34,756) Upper Class Walrus
Kill A Million Rats $10.99 64 89% 1.9k $21k (exactly $21,101) Nerdook Productions
Sushi Cat - Tower Defense $9.99 51 84% 1.5k $15k (exactly $15,285) OverPowered Team
Kittypocalypse - Ungoggled older $9.99 44 79% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Bolverk Games
Cats go! : Tactical Defense Braw $4.99 39 97% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) Minimum Studio Corp.
Cat Guardian $7.99 19 84% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) Yaeegy
Kemotaku $15.99 7 100% 210 $3.4k (exactly $3,358) Kojika Games
Vampire Cat $6.99 14 78% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Hunt Games
Defend Against Cats $1.99 19 100% 570 $1.1k (exactly $1,134) Greyhaven Craft
Dungeon Gatekeeper $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Fruit Platter Hermit

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.