Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Game Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Card Game

Of 57 developers who shipped a Card Game Creature Collector in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 102 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×393 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 102 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 102 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 57
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $2.2k → $539 → $3.0k → $1.5k → $5.8k → $479 (still earning) → $1.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 57
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,390)
Top 5% $247k (exactly $246,566)
Developers, 2 yr 57
Released games 123
Announced 102
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector, Card Game; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Battler, Deckbuilding, Strategy
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 11,831 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 102 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tiny Pasture $5.99 7,055 92% 212k $1.3M (exactly $1,267,784) CaveLiquid
Decktamer $15.99 2,069 86% 62k $992k (exactly $992,499) Horizon Edge
Cat God Ranch older $9.99 1,831 92% 55k $549k (exactly $548,751) CrazyPotato Studio
Super Bullet Break older $19.99 434 81% 13k $260k (exactly $260,270) BeXide Inc.
9th Dawn Remake $15.99 514 86% 15k $247k (exactly $246,566) Valorware
Mamon King $12.99 603 90% 18k $235k (exactly $234,989) LiTMUS Co., Ltd.
Tavern of Gods older $9.99 775 77% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Element Studio
Kādomon: Hyper Auto Battlers $9.99 543 65% 16k $163k (exactly $162,737) Dino Rocket
Evolution Board Game older $14.99 348 81% 10k $156k (exactly $156,496) North Star Digital Studios
Stackmon $13.99 364 75% 11k $153k (exactly $152,771) Riftpoint Entertainment
Anode Heart: Layer Null $15.99 227 91% 6.8k $109k (exactly $108,892) Stove Powered Games
Dragon Eclipse $12.99 204 60% 6.1k $79k (exactly $79,499) Fardust
Montabi $19.99 123 95% 3.7k $74k (exactly $73,763) Mankibo
Isle of Swaps $14.99 129 90% 3.9k $58k (exactly $58,011) Fuzz Force

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.