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Should I ship a Bullet Time Runner?
Bullet Time + Runner
Only 13 developers shipped a Bullet Time Runner in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SPEEDSHOT, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $180, ×0.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper, while revenue is down 95% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $179 (exactly $179) |
| Top 25% | $3.4k (exactly $3,443) |
| Top 5% | $12k (exactly $12,142) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 51 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $2.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Time
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Runner
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Bullet Time, Runner; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, 3D Platformer
- Price point
- $2.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 128 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Time with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + NoirFair
- + LogicFair
- + Boomer ShooterFair
- + LootFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + StrategyFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + Quick-Time EventsLong shot
- + On-Rails ShooterLong shot
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Beat 'em upPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Espire 1: VR Operative | older | $19.99 | 381 54% | 11k | $228k (exactly $228,486) | Digital Lode Immersive Media |
| | Warstride Challenges | older | $19.99 | 242 89% | 7.3k | $145k (exactly $145,127) | Dream Powered Games |
| | 绝命游歌 | older | $6.99 | 159 82% | 4.8k | $33k (exactly $33,342) | DreamStep, Wild Kid Games |
| | Grapple Hoops | older | $11.99 | 75 73% | 2.3k | $27k (exactly $26,978) | Andreas Georgiou |
| | Aerial_Knight's Never Yield | older | $4.99 | 102 79% | 3.1k | $15k (exactly $15,269) | Aerial_Knight |
| | SPEEDSHOT | $14.99 | 27 100% | 810 | $12k (exactly $12,142) | karmacode | |
| | Incaved Runner | older | $3.99 | 78 96% | 2.3k | $9.3k (exactly $9,337) | DualWielded |
| | Sheep Seeker | $9.99 | 22 100% | 660 | $6.6k (exactly $6,593) | Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KI… (Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KIRK, Séverin RICHARD, Matthieu FARROW, François HANUS, Quentin EUNG, Mattéo GLAIRON-MONDET, Lucas RENARD, Céline TRUONG) | |
| | PEE WAR! | older | $1.99 | 61 93% | 1.8k | $3.6k (exactly $3,642) | LBR games, Integer games |
| | the Shadow of Swallow | $3.99 | 30 76% | 900 | $3.6k (exactly $3,591) | Raine Studio | |
| | Sleembo | $4.99 | 23 69% | 690 | $3.4k (exactly $3,443) | Sleembo Games | |
| | LightQb | $9.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | RobDoesStuff | |
| | Nice Pro? | $0.99 | 15 100% | 450 | $446 (exactly $446) | NicePro | |
| | Limitless Runner | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | UnusualCrypt Studios | |
| | Dodgecore | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | Schnurksel | |
| | 太和的疯狂农场 Taihe's Crazy Farm | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | 太和独游匠 | |
| | Pug Trouble | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Karlis Zabers |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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