Do I ship it?

GamesBullet TimeBullet Time + Runner

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Time Runner?

Bullet Time + Runner

Only 13 developers shipped a Bullet Time Runner in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SPEEDSHOT, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180, ×0.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper, while revenue is down 95% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Time + Runner
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.2k → $9.3k → $3.4k → $179 → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Time + Runner: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,443)
Top 5% $12k (exactly $12,142)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 51
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Time
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Bullet Time, Runner; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, 3D Platformer
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 128 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $180, 1 in 4 over $3.4k, 1 in 20 over $12k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Time with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NoirFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + LogicFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  4. + LootFair15 devs · median $836 · 21 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair13 devs · median $718 · 8 announced
  6. + StrategyFair60 devs · median $599 · 59 announced
  7. + Tower DefenseFair20 devs · median $597 · 20 announced
  8. + Quick-Time EventsLong shot10 devs · median $390 · 15 announced
  9. + On-Rails ShooterLong shot8 devs · median $359 · 8 announced
  10. + DystopianPoor odds13 devs · median $44k · 39 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds13 devs · median $5.4k · 30 announced
  12. + Beat 'em upPoor odds11 devs · median $4.7k · 19 announced

All 95 pairs on the Bullet Time page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Espire 1: VR Operative older $19.99 381 54% 11k $228k (exactly $228,486) Digital Lode Immersive Media
Warstride Challenges older $19.99 242 89% 7.3k $145k (exactly $145,127) Dream Powered Games
绝命游歌 older $6.99 159 82% 4.8k $33k (exactly $33,342) DreamStep, Wild Kid Games
Grapple Hoops older $11.99 75 73% 2.3k $27k (exactly $26,978) Andreas Georgiou
Aerial_Knight's Never Yield older $4.99 102 79% 3.1k $15k (exactly $15,269) Aerial_Knight
SPEEDSHOT $14.99 27 100% 810 $12k (exactly $12,142) karmacode
Incaved Runner older $3.99 78 96% 2.3k $9.3k (exactly $9,337) DualWielded
Sheep Seeker $9.99 22 100% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KI… (Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KIRK, Séverin RICHARD, Matthieu FARROW, François HANUS, Quentin EUNG, Mattéo GLAIRON-MONDET, Lucas RENARD, Céline TRUONG)
PEE WAR! older $1.99 61 93% 1.8k $3.6k (exactly $3,642) LBR games, Integer games
the Shadow of Swallow $3.99 30 76% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) Raine Studio
Sleembo $4.99 23 69% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) Sleembo Games
LightQb $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) RobDoesStuff
Nice Pro? $0.99 15 100% 450 $446 (exactly $446) NicePro
Limitless Runner $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) UnusualCrypt Studios
Dodgecore $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Schnurksel
太和的疯狂农场 Taihe's Crazy Farm $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) 太和独游匠
Pug Trouble $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Karlis Zabers

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.