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Should I ship a Co-op Bullet Time game?
Co-op + Bullet Time
Only 13 developers shipped a Co-op Bullet Time game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Killing Floor 3, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.4k, ×3.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $19M, ×13209 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 30 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) |
| Top 25% | $37k (exactly $37,325) |
| Top 5% | $20M (exactly $19,786,652) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 60 |
| Announced | 30 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Co-op
- effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
- Bullet Time
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Co-op, Bullet Time; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Action Roguelike
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 62% positive over 24,669 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Co-op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SuperheroFair
- + Boomer ShooterFair
- + GamblingFair
- + NinjaFair
- + TypingLong shot
- + Word GameLong shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Max Payne 3 | older | $19.99 | 55,150 86% | 1.7M | $33M (exactly $33,073,455) | Rockstar Studios |
| | Killing Floor | older | $19.99 | 39,850 95% | 1.2M | $24M (exactly $23,898,045) | Tripwire Interactive |
| | Killing Floor 3 | $39.99 | 16,493 46% | 495k | $20M (exactly $19,786,652) | Tripwire Interactive | |
| | WARNO | older | $39.99 | 14,502 80% | 435k | $17M (exactly $17,398,049) | Eugen Systems |
| | F.E.A.R. 3 | older | $19.99 | 7,407 69% | 222k | $4.4M (exactly $4,441,978) | Day 1 Studios |
| | Sniper: Ghost Warrior 2 | older | $9.99 | 13,694 75% | 411k | $4.1M (exactly $4,104,092) | City Interactive |
| | Stick It to the Stickman | · EA | $11.99 | 7,918 96% | 238k | $2.8M (exactly $2,848,105) | Free Lives |
| | F.E.A.R. 2: Project Origin | older | $14.99 | 5,640 83% | 169k | $2.5M (exactly $2,536,308) | Monolith |
| | Sniper Elite: Nazi Zombie Army | older | $14.99 | 3,557 88% | 107k | $1.6M (exactly $1,599,583) | Rebellion |
| | Sniper: Ghost Warrior | older | $7.99 | 5,723 58% | 172k | $1.4M (exactly $1,371,803) | City Interactive |
| | Flying Tank | $14.99 | 97 86% | 2.9k | $44k (exactly $43,621) | Hexage | |
| | Asterogues | $14.99 | 83 90% | 2.5k | $37k (exactly $37,325) | pipotchi600 | |
| | Source Code | $19.99 | 33 60% | 990 | $20k (exactly $19,790) | Blitzball.Inc | |
| | Sheep Seeker | $9.99 | 22 100% | 660 | $6.6k (exactly $6,593) | Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KI… (Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KIRK, Séverin RICHARD, Matthieu FARROW, François HANUS, Quentin EUNG, Mattéo GLAIRON-MONDET, Lucas RENARD, Céline TRUONG) | |
| | Astro Fighters 2 | $9.99 | 18 88% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | Paul Connor | |
| | Aluna Rift | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Ben Lowther-Saul | |
| | Deflect | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | AlzKrak Games | |
| | Shield Hero | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Bryant Frankford |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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