Do I ship it?

GamesBullet TimeBullet Time + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Time Platformer?

Bullet Time + Platformer

Of 43 developers who shipped a Bullet Time Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 86 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×680 the market median. Revenue is up 215% on the market; 86 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 215% on the market, 86 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Time + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $150 → $955 → $898 → $446 → $6.6k → $719 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Time + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $3.5k (exactly $3,471)
Top 5% $427k (exactly $427,215)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 157
Announced 86
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 215% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Time
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Bullet Time, Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Stylized, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 10,387 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.4k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 86 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Time with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NoirFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + LogicFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  4. + LootFair15 devs · median $836 · 21 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair13 devs · median $718 · 8 announced
  6. + StrategyFair60 devs · median $599 · 59 announced
  7. + Tower DefenseFair20 devs · median $597 · 20 announced
  8. + Quick-Time EventsLong shot10 devs · median $390 · 15 announced
  9. + On-Rails ShooterLong shot8 devs · median $359 · 8 announced
  10. + DystopianPoor odds13 devs · median $44k · 39 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds13 devs · median $5.4k · 30 announced
  12. + Beat 'em upPoor odds11 devs · median $4.7k · 19 announced

All 95 pairs on the Bullet Time page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
My Friend Pedro older $19.99 24,570 95% 737k $15M (exactly $14,734,629) DeadToast Entertainment
Laika: Aged Through Blood older $19.99 5,938 91% 178k $3.6M (exactly $3,561,019) Brainwash Gang
Stick It to the Stickman · EA $11.99 7,918 96% 238k $2.8M (exactly $2,848,105) Free Lives
Shady Knight $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Alexey 'cptnsigh'
Guns of Fury $14.99 950 88% 29k $427k (exactly $427,215) Gelato Games Ltd
Orbital Bullet – The 360° Rogue-lite older $16.99 601 82% 18k $306k (exactly $306,330) SmokeStab
Neon Inferno $19.99 378 92% 11k $227k (exactly $226,687) Zenovia Interactive
Bleed older $4.99 1,498 92% 45k $224k (exactly $224,251) Ian Campbell
Ary and the Secret of Seasons older $39.99 134 64% 4.0k $161k (exactly $160,760) eXiin, Fishing Cactus
Bleed 2 older $9.99 527 96% 16k $158k (exactly $157,942) Ian Campbell
Deadliest Pigeon $6.99 99 93% 3.0k $21k (exactly $20,760) Rusty Rex
Sacre Bleu $14.99 46 82% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) Hildring Studio Inc
SPEEDSHOT $14.99 27 100% 810 $12k (exactly $12,142) karmacode
Sheep Seeker $9.99 22 100% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KI… (Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KIRK, Séverin RICHARD, Matthieu FARROW, François HANUS, Quentin EUNG, Mattéo GLAIRON-MONDET, Lucas RENARD, Céline TRUONG)
Duck Paradox $9.99 19 100% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Magic Games
the Shadow of Swallow $3.99 30 76% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) Raine Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.