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Should I ship a Bullet Time Perma Death game?
Bullet Time + Perma Death
Of 21 developers who shipped a Bullet Time Perma Death game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 14 developers shipped in the last year and 44 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $150 (exactly $150) |
| Top 25% | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) |
| Top 5% | $26k (exactly $26,374) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 66 |
| Announced | 44 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1330% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Time
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Perma Death
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Bullet Time, Perma Death; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action Roguelike, Action, Shooter
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 572 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Time with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + NoirFair
- + LogicFair
- + Boomer ShooterFair
- + LootFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + StrategyFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + Quick-Time EventsLong shot
- + On-Rails ShooterLong shot
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Beat 'em upPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Heat Signature | older | $14.99 | 6,849 94% | 205k | $3.1M (exactly $3,079,995) | Suspicious Developments |
| | Orbital Bullet – The 360° Rogue-lite | older | $16.99 | 601 82% | 18k | $306k (exactly $306,330) | SmokeStab |
| | Voidborn | $12.99 | 349 81% | 10k | $136k (exactly $136,005) | Xekvera | |
| | Stellar Interface | older | $12.99 | 188 78% | 5.6k | $73k (exactly $73,264) | ImaginationOverflow |
| | Time Snatcher Handy | $9.99 | 88 96% | 2.6k | $26k (exactly $26,374) | PulleyBun, ClockworkCats | |
| | DEATHRUN TV | older | $14.99 | 58 81% | 1.7k | $26k (exactly $26,083) | Laser Dog |
| | Gunstoppable | $12.49 | 58 81% | 1.7k | $22k (exactly $21,733) | CAGE Studios | |
| | TYPECAST | older | $4.99 | 145 91% | 4.4k | $22k (exactly $21,706) | Gutter Arcade, Mecha Studios |
| | Amber Tail Adventure | older | $4.99 | 120 79% | 3.6k | $18k (exactly $17,964) | Xyak-Xyak |
| | Dungeon Core | older | $11.99 | 48 79% | 1.4k | $17k (exactly $17,266) | Talismanic Entertainment |
| | Decks of Dexterity | $14.99 | 33 100% | 990 | $15k (exactly $14,840) | Coded Games | |
| | Duck Paradox | $9.99 | 19 100% | 570 | $5.7k (exactly $5,694) | Magic Games | |
| | DOOM SPIRAL | $9.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Forbidden Saucery | |
| | Bean Wizard Eviscerates the Gonklins | $11.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | GoblinRunt Games | |
| | Deadcave | $0.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $267 (exactly $267) | cnsmini | |
| | TOWERPULSE | $3.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $239 (exactly $239) | HAT Media | |
| | Toey Weedz Forreal | $4.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Tobias Alexander Knobloch |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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