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Should I ship a Military Bullet Time game?
Bullet Time + Military
Only 13 developers shipped a Military Bullet Time game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Out of Action, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $61; 1 in 20 cleared $540k, ×875 the market median. Revenue is up 4225% on the market; 25 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $61 (exactly $61) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $20k (exactly $19,790) |
| Top 5% | $549k (exactly $549,325) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 61 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4225% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Time
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Military
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Bullet Time; all of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Shooter
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Gore, Retro
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,977 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $61. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Time with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + NoirFair
- + LogicFair
- + Boomer ShooterFair
- + LootFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + StrategyFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + Quick-Time EventsLong shot
- + On-Rails ShooterLong shot
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Beat 'em upPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | WARNO | older | $39.99 | 14,502 80% | 435k | $17M (exactly $17,398,049) | Eugen Systems |
| | Sniper: Ghost Warrior 2 | older | $9.99 | 13,694 75% | 411k | $4.1M (exactly $4,104,092) | City Interactive |
| | Sniper: Ghost Warrior | older | $7.99 | 5,723 58% | 172k | $1.4M (exactly $1,371,803) | City Interactive |
| | Out of Action | · EA | $19.99 | 916 77% | 27k | $549k (exactly $549,325) | Doku Games LTD |
| | SPRAWL zero | $24.99 | 710 94% | 21k | $532k (exactly $532,287) | MAETH | |
| | Espire 1: VR Operative | older | $19.99 | 381 54% | 11k | $228k (exactly $228,486) | Digital Lode Immersive Media |
| | Comanche | older | $19.99 | 322 51% | 9.7k | $193k (exactly $193,103) | NUKKLEAR, Ashborne Games |
| | E.E.R.I.E2 | older | $7.99 | 624 75% | 19k | $150k (exactly $149,573) | Ureasoft |
| | NIRO | older | $17.99 | 189 76% | 5.7k | $102k (exactly $102,003) | Arimac Lanka Private Limited |
| | Soldat 2 | · EA older | $7.99 | 386 85% | 12k | $93k (exactly $92,524) | Transhuman Design |
| | Plastic Battlegrounds | · EA | $9.99 | 281 89% | 8.4k | $84k (exactly $84,216) | Simulated Minds |
| | Source Code | $19.99 | 33 60% | 990 | $20k (exactly $19,790) | Blitzball.Inc | |
| | MARKSMAN VR | · EA | $8.99 | 16 31% | 480 | $4.3k (exactly $4,315) | Crimson Gate |
| | CYBER92 DATAWAR | $9.92 | 14 50% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,166) | Cyber92 Solo Developer | |
| | Bodycam:Adrenaline | $9.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Rocket Game | |
| | Flight Weapon | $5.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | Dying Tiger Studios AB | |
| | Cannoneer | · EA | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | Logical Studios |
| | Dual Gun | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Rocket Game |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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