Do I ship it?

GamesLooter ShooterLooter Shooter + Bullet Time

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Time Looter Shooter?

Looter Shooter + Bullet Time

Only 16 developers shipped a Bullet Time Looter Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, UNYIELDER, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 220% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Looter Shooter + Bullet Time
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $239 → $359 → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Looter Shooter + Bullet Time: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $419 (exactly $419)
Top 5% $88k (exactly $87,715)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 29
Announced 20
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 220% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter
Bullet Time
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Looter Shooter, Bullet Time; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Bullet Hell
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Stylized, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 187 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $410, 1 in 20 over $87k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Looter Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair13 devs · median $219k · 14 announced
  2. + Vehicular CombatFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  4. + 3D PlatformerLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds54 devs · median $25k · 136 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds56 devs · median $25k · 124 announced
  8. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  9. + DystopianPoor odds14 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds36 devs · median $9.1k · 74 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds50 devs · median $9.0k · 151 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds27 devs · median $6.9k · 61 announced

All 90 pairs on the Looter Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Black Gunner Wukong older $9.99 417 98% 13k $125k (exactly $124,975) Wukong
UNYIELDER $24.99 117 62% 3.5k $88k (exactly $87,715) TrueWorld Studios
Avium older $29.99 26 76% 780 $23k (exactly $23,392) The Robot
Ash & Adam's GOBSMACKED $4.99 37 86% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Ash & Adam's Games
Tower of Doom older $14.99 9 88% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Finn Lichtenberg
Aim Trainer - Shooting Range older $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Merla Games
King Bullseye: Headshot Training older $3.99 23 91% 690 $2.8k (exactly $2,753) Sensen Games
Welcome to the Polyverse older $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Revmatek
Number 8 · EA older $4.99 7 57% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Alexander Boiko
DOOM Dawn $1.99 14 85% 420 $836 (exactly $836) Aeon
Collapse Zone $6.99 2 50% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Znan Games
Ancient Archer $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Primitive Realms
Deadcave $0.99 9 100% 270 $267 (exactly $267) cnsmini
Void Phantom $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Rpx
Code-Black · EA $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Plague Doctor Studios
Viking Breaker $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Gamific, Kode Game Studio
S K Y R I S E · EA $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Lex Sosa

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.