Do I ship it?

GamesBullet TimeBullet Time + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Bullet Time game?

Bullet Time + Futuristic

Of 42 developers who shipped a Futuristic Bullet Time game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 70 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 25 developers shipped in the last year and 70 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 70 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Time + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 42
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $208 → $898 → $900 → $2.7k → $210 → $3.1k → $269 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Time + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 42
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 5% $549k (exactly $549,325)
Developers, 2 yr 42
Released games 126
Announced 70
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Time
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Bullet Time; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Retro, Abstract, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 53% positive over 19,795 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $540k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 70 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Time with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NoirFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + LogicFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  4. + LootFair15 devs · median $836 · 21 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair13 devs · median $718 · 8 announced
  6. + StrategyFair60 devs · median $599 · 59 announced
  7. + Tower DefenseFair20 devs · median $597 · 20 announced
  8. + Quick-Time EventsLong shot10 devs · median $390 · 15 announced
  9. + On-Rails ShooterLong shot8 devs · median $359 · 8 announced
  10. + DystopianPoor odds13 devs · median $44k · 39 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds13 devs · median $5.4k · 30 announced
  12. + Beat 'em upPoor odds11 devs · median $4.7k · 19 announced

All 95 pairs on the Bullet Time page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Killing Floor 3 $39.99 16,493 46% 495k $20M (exactly $19,786,652) Tripwire Interactive
Vanquish older $19.99 6,974 89% 209k $4.2M (exactly $4,182,308) PlatinumGames, Little Stone Software
Pistol Whip older $29.99 3,586 94% 108k $3.2M (exactly $3,226,324) Cloudhead Games Ltd.
Sairento VR older $29.99 1,448 86% 43k $1.3M (exactly $1,302,766) Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holding… (Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holdings Pte Ltd)
STANDBOX older $7.99 2,890 90% 87k $693k (exactly $692,733) RealityBeholder
TimeShift™ older $19.99 1,131 80% 34k $678k (exactly $678,261) Saber Interactive
Gungrave G.O.R.E older $29.99 744 71% 22k $669k (exactly $669,377) Iggymob Co.,Ltd
Rogue Command $19.99 1,018 89% 31k $610k (exactly $610,495) feneq
Out of Action · EA $19.99 916 77% 27k $549k (exactly $549,325) Doku Games LTD
Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum $12.99 839 98% 25k $327k (exactly $326,958) nodayshalleraseyou
Neon Inferno $19.99 378 92% 11k $227k (exactly $226,687) Zenovia Interactive
Source Code $19.99 33 60% 990 $20k (exactly $19,790) Blitzball.Inc
ParryMaster $2.99 72 75% 2.2k $6.5k (exactly $6,458) GOGOIO Games
Astro Fighters 2 $9.99 18 88% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Paul Connor
Hyperslice $6.99 19 94% 570 $4.0k (exactly $3,984) MrEliptik
Cyborg City $12.99 9 100% 270 $3.5k (exactly $3,507) Cyborg Dreams

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.