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Should I ship a Dark-Fantasy Bullet Time game?
Bullet Time + Dark Fantasy
Only 19 developers shipped a Dark-Fantasy Bullet Time game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, KILL KNIGHT, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $810k, ×1292 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 31 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 25% | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) |
| Top 5% | $811k (exactly $811,259) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 48 |
| Announced | 31 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Time
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Dark Fantasy
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Bullet Time; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Hack and Slash
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, First-Person, Stylized
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 3,230 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Time with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + NoirFair
- + LogicFair
- + Boomer ShooterFair
- + LootFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + StrategyFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + Quick-Time EventsLong shot
- + On-Rails ShooterLong shot
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Beat 'em upPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | KILL KNIGHT | $14.99 | 1,804 93% | 54k | $811k (exactly $811,259) | PlaySide | |
| | Gungrave G.O.R.E | older | $29.99 | 744 71% | 22k | $669k (exactly $669,377) | Iggymob Co.,Ltd |
| | Shady Knight | $19.99 | 898 93% | 27k | $539k (exactly $538,531) | Alexey 'cptnsigh' | |
| | Kill The Crows | older | $4.99 | 2,848 95% | 85k | $426k (exactly $426,346) | 5minlab Corp. |
| | Warhammer 40,000: Battle Sister | older | $19.99 | 596 70% | 18k | $357k (exactly $357,421) | Soul Assembly Ltd |
| | Iron Danger | older | $19.99 | 544 73% | 16k | $326k (exactly $326,237) | Action Squad Studios |
| | Hellsweeper VR | older | $19.99 | 519 85% | 16k | $311k (exactly $311,244) | Mixed Realms Pte Ltd |
| | Voidborn | $12.99 | 349 81% | 10k | $136k (exactly $136,005) | Xekvera | |
| | Madshot | older | $19.99 | 210 79% | 6.3k | $126k (exactly $125,937) | Overflow |
| | Impaler Gold | older | $4.99 | 466 92% | 14k | $70k (exactly $69,760) | Apptivus |
| | Book Shooter | $6.99 | 107 86% | 3.2k | $22k (exactly $22,438) | SOS GameLab. | |
| | HexWind | $11.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) | Charm Games | |
| | Agony Increment | $7.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $4.1k (exactly $4,075) | Parish Softworks | |
| | Idle Demon Summoner | $6.00 | 16 62% | 480 | $2.9k (exactly $2,880) | Chrio Games | |
| | Labyrinth Sword Princess | $3.99 | 20 70% | 600 | $2.4k (exactly $2,394) | 黄烁强002 | |
| | BROKEN SOUL : Boss Rush | $12.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.6k (exactly $1,559) | DoubleJLabs | |
| | Mörker | · EA | $19.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Hannes Bartels |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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