Do I ship it?

GamesCo-opCo-op + Bullet Heaven

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Bullet Heaven?

Co-op + Bullet Heaven

Of 39 developers who shipped a Co-op Bullet Heaven in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×2.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×829 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 57 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 57 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Bullet Heaven
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $171k → $13k → $81k → $12k (still earning) → $1.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op + Bullet Heaven: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 25% $107k (exactly $107,366)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,242,256)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 51
Announced 57
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 580% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Bullet Heaven
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op, Bullet Heaven; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Bullet Hell, Roguelite, Action
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 27,838 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $4.2k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Brotato older $4.99 111,407 95% 3.3M $17M (exactly $16,677,628) Blobfish
The Spell Brigade $12.99 14,731 80% 442k $5.7M (exactly $5,740,671) Bolt Blaster Games
Pathogenic $9.99 4,145 92% 124k $1.2M (exactly $1,242,256) Aberrant Labs
Greedland $12.99 2,919 83% 88k $1.1M (exactly $1,137,534) VaMP He
Temtem: Swarm $12.99 2,487 77% 75k $969k (exactly $969,184) Crema, GGTech Studios
Bounty of One older $6.99 2,749 88% 82k $576k (exactly $576,465) OptizOnion
Sineus Arena Survivors $10.99 1,150 77% 35k $379k (exactly $379,155) Sineus Games
RIFTSTORM · EA $14.99 659 70% 20k $296k (exactly $296,352) Confiction Labs, Agate
Paper Planet older $14.99 381 89% 11k $171k (exactly $171,336) Doodlegames
Extremely Powerful Capybaras older $5.99 902 60% 27k $162k (exactly $162,089) Studio Bravarda
Entropy Survivors $9.99 487 80% 15k $146k (exactly $145,954) Moving Pieces Interactive
Pebble Knights · EA $9.99 479 76% 14k $144k (exactly $143,556) 51% Games
Shape Shifter: Formations $14.99 269 91% 8.1k $121k (exactly $120,969) Castec Studios
Shard Squad $6.99 512 82% 15k $107k (exactly $107,366) The Root Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.