Do I ship it?

GamesBoss RushBoss Rush + Bullet Hell

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Boss Rush Bullet Hell?

Boss Rush + Bullet Hell

Of 27 developers who shipped a Boss Rush Bullet Hell in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, level with the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 31 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 31 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Boss Rush + Bullet Hell
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $3.6k → $3.3k → $3.7k → $42k → $119 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Boss Rush + Bullet Hell: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $3.7k (exactly $3,742)
Top 5% $50k (exactly $50,000)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 71
Announced 31
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 185% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Boss Rush
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Boss Rush, Bullet Hell; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvE, Action Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Difficult, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 767 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $50k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Boss Rush with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RPGFair20 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  2. + Action RoguelikeFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  3. + Sci-fiFair17 devs · median $839 · 16 announced
  4. + ShooterFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  5. + Action-AdventurePoor odds20 devs · median $3.7k · 42 announced
  6. + Hack and SlashPoor odds13 devs · median $3.5k · 39 announced
  7. + CombatPoor odds49 devs · median $1.6k · 79 announced
  8. + Souls-likePoor odds21 devs · median $1.6k · 44 announced
  9. + Action RPGPoor odds16 devs · median $1.6k · 32 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds17 devs · median $1.6k · 30 announced
  11. + RoguelitePoor odds16 devs · median $1.6k · 21 announced
  12. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $1.6k · 21 announced

All 20 pairs on the Boss Rush page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Furi older $19.99 11,246 90% 337k $6.7M (exactly $6,744,226) The Game Bakers
NanoApostle older $19.99 1,184 95% 36k $710k (exactly $710,045) 18Light Game Ltd.
The Void Rains Upon Her Heart · EA older $12.99 1,655 99% 50k $645k (exactly $644,954) Veyeral Games
ITTA older $14.99 386 89% 12k $174k (exactly $173,584) Glass Revolver
UNYIELDER $24.99 117 62% 3.5k $88k (exactly $87,715) TrueWorld Studios
ONE BTN BOSSES older $11.99 165 87% 5.0k $59k (exactly $59,350) Midnight Munchies
Second Stellar · EA $4.99 334 99% 10k $50k (exactly $50,000) Pepperlog
ZOE Begone! $9.99 141 100% 4.2k $42k (exactly $42,258) Retchy Games
Dead older $4.99 257 91% 7.7k $38k (exactly $38,473) Alec Smith, Dane Winn
Nowhere Patrol older $4.99 229 96% 6.9k $34k (exactly $34,281) Slugsoft
VOIDFACE $8.99 78 96% 2.3k $21k (exactly $21,037) Frog Hat Labs
Bittersweet Birthday $17.99 26 92% 780 $14k (exactly $14,032) World Eater Games
Virus Rush + Hazard of the Ages $11.99 13 100% 390 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) STRANGER
Pancake Patrol $4.99 25 92% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) Power Plins Games
GOLIATH $3.99 15 100% 450 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Dawg
Periodicity - Hats and scars $4.99 11 90% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) PunPun.Studio
Bobble and the Tri-Crystal $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) HenryNova

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.