Do I ship it?

GamesLootLoot + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Loot Board Game?

Loot + Board Game

Only 19 developers shipped a Loot Board Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sandwalkers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×468 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 19 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 19 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $178 → $10k → $3.1k → $719 → $2.1k (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Loot + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,195)
Top 5% $294k (exactly $293,853)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 64
Announced 19
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Loot, Board Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Party-Based RPG, RPG
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 1,499 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stolen Realm older $19.99 3,470 84% 104k $2.1M (exactly $2,080,959) Burst2Flame Games
Tales & Tactics older $17.99 1,737 80% 52k $937k (exactly $937,459) Table 9 Studio
Sandwalkers $19.99 490 73% 15k $294k (exactly $293,853) Goblinz Studio
Talisman: Digital 5th Edition $29.99 227 70% 6.8k $204k (exactly $204,232) Nomad Games
Dead Grid $12.99 504 93% 15k $196k (exactly $196,409) Atom Void
Yaengard older $24.99 121 76% 3.6k $91k (exactly $90,714) Planeshift Interactive
Underboard $14.99 181 74% 5.4k $81k (exactly $81,396) Headless
Rogue Dungeon older $14.99 49 77% 1.5k $22k (exactly $22,035) Cerberus Gate Games
Beasties - Monster Trainer Puzzle RPG older $8.99 45 46% 1.4k $12k (exactly $12,136) rokaplay
Light Fingers $19.99 17 76% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) Numizmatic
Hero Quest - God of Chaos · EA $19.99 16 93% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Future Intellect LLC
Tetra Dungeon $4.99 25 88% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) 套鹿工作室
Petrified Pawns $5.99 17 88% 510 $3.1k (exactly $3,055) Bepansrad Studio
Tinker-World: Arrival at Kedhreon $6.99 10 90% 300 $2.1k (exactly $2,097) From The Cave, TibiSoft
CELESTIAL: FIRE & FORGE $4.99 12 41% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) ERA Soft Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.