Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Board Game

Only 16 developers shipped a Board Game Creature Collector in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, NEODUEL: Backpack Monsters, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×204 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 24 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 24 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $716 → $58k → $1.4k → $5.8k → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 25% $27k (exactly $26,973)
Top 5% $128k (exactly $128,413)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 48
Announced 24
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector, Board Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Strategy, RPG
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Cartoon, Cartoony
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,129 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Evolution Board Game older $14.99 348 81% 10k $156k (exactly $156,496) North Star Digital Studios
Oaken older $19.99 239 79% 7.2k $143k (exactly $143,328) Laki Studios
NEODUEL: Backpack Monsters $11.99 357 79% 11k $128k (exactly $128,413) dicehit, Rogue Duck Interactive
Lucky Hunter $5.99 413 89% 12k $74k (exactly $74,216) 159 Studio
Isle of Swaps $14.99 129 90% 3.9k $58k (exactly $58,011) Fuzz Force
Chosen Garden $9.99 90 93% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) Winter Cabin Games
Magibrick $7.99 77 72% 2.3k $18k (exactly $18,457) Fourth Front
Card Summoner $14.99 32 50% 960 $14k (exactly $14,390) Happenstance Games
Beasties - Monster Trainer Puzzle RPG older $8.99 45 46% 1.4k $12k (exactly $12,136) rokaplay
Little Inner Monsters - Card Game older $4.99 46 91% 1.4k $6.9k (exactly $6,886) Mens Sana Interactive
Witchcrafter The TCG $15.99 12 83% 360 $5.8k (exactly $5,756) Spear Group Limited
Conjurers $11.99 4 75% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) Carl Treadway
森林王国的试炼 $3.99 12 75% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) knuckle_horse
DraQu: Elemental Awakening · EA $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) ALTF4 Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.