Do I ship it?

GamesLootLoot + Auto Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Loot Auto Battler?

Loot + Auto Battler

Of 95 developers who shipped a Loot Auto Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 185 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×7.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×671 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 185 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 185 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Auto Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 95
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.4k → $63k → $17k → $12k → $22k → $4.1k (still earning) → $5.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Loot + Auto Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 95
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Median $4.5k (exactly $4,549)
Top 25% $61k (exactly $61,438)
Top 5% $421k (exactly $421,078)
Developers, 2 yr 95
Released games 142
Announced 185
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 195% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Loot, Auto Battler; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, RPG, Idler
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 30,364 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $4.5k, 1 in 4 over $61k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 7 in 10 of the 27 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 185 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Backpack Battles $14.99 18,933 91% 568k $8.5M (exactly $8,514,170) PlayWithFurcifer
Dragon Cliff older $9.99 7,679 88% 230k $2.3M (exactly $2,301,396) Meta Interaction
Dwarves: Glory, Death and Loot $14.99 2,588 82% 78k $1.2M (exactly $1,163,824) Hamma Studios
Tales & Tactics older $17.99 1,737 80% 52k $937k (exactly $937,459) Table 9 Studio
Mini Healer · EA older $7.99 2,239 87% 67k $537k (exactly $536,688) Sad Doge
Knightica $14.99 1,136 74% 34k $511k (exactly $510,859) Mad Mango Games
Skull Horde $12.99 1,083 81% 32k $422k (exactly $422,045) 8BitSkull
Overlooting $9.99 1,405 81% 42k $421k (exactly $421,078) Posing Possums
Down with the Ship · EA $14.99 817 93% 25k $367k (exactly $367,405) Iron Anchor Games
Path of Idle: Old Gods Rising $9.99 1,160 77% 35k $348k (exactly $347,652) Small Mill, Small Mill
Legends of Dragaea: Idle Dungeons $9.99 976 86% 29k $293k (exactly $292,507) Blast Programming
Loot Loop $4.99 1,701 93% 51k $255k (exactly $254,640) BitBrew
Backpack Jianghu $13.99 565 80% 17k $237k (exactly $237,130) 背包工作室

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.