Do I ship it?

GamesCo-opCo-op + Asynchronous Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Asynchronous Multiplayer game?

Co-op + Asynchronous Multiplayer

Of 20 developers who shipped a Co-op Asynchronous Multiplayer game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×6.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×1.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $9.7M, ×6510 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 57 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 57 announced, ×6.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Asynchronous Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $242k → $1.7k → $7.2k → $239 (still earning) → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op + Asynchronous Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,726)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,553)
Top 5% $9.8M (exactly $9,752,549)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 70
Announced 57
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op, Asynchronous Multiplayer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Online Co-Op, 4X
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $23.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $23.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 65% positive over 7,079 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $9.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rise of the Ronin $49.99 6,503 64% 195k $9.8M (exactly $9,752,549) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
The Texas Chain Saw Massacre older $14.99 19,731 68% 592k $8.9M (exactly $8,873,031) Sumo Digital
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
The Past Within older $5.99 14,673 94% 440k $2.6M (exactly $2,636,738) Rusty Lake
Dominions 6 - Rise of the Pantokrator older $44.99 1,686 90% 51k $2.3M (exactly $2,275,594) Illwinter Game Design
Meet Your Maker older $19.99 3,013 73% 90k $1.8M (exactly $1,806,896) Behaviour Interactive Inc.
Tick Tock: A Tale for Two older $5.99 10,006 85% 300k $1.8M (exactly $1,798,078) Other Tales Interactive
Conquest of Elysium 5 older $29.99 1,872 90% 56k $1.7M (exactly $1,684,238) Illwinter Game Design
Frozen Synapse older $24.99 1,108 89% 33k $831k (exactly $830,668) Mode 7
We Were Here Expeditions: The FriendShip older $3.99 3,979 81% 119k $476k (exactly $476,286) Total Mayhem Games
Yield! Fall of Rome $19.99 219 69% 6.6k $131k (exactly $131,334) Billionworlds
Space Imperia 4X $22.99 70 92% 2.1k $48k (exactly $48,279) Breich Games
The Mosquito Gang $5.99 152 70% 4.6k $27k (exactly $27,314) Space Raccoon Game Studio
Codename: Terranova $23.99 23 69% 690 $17k (exactly $16,553) ACGames
Super World War $19.99 19 100% 570 $11k (exactly $11,394) Zero Games Studios
Shatterline $9.99 24 62% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) Frag Lab LLC
DR Dominoes $5.99 40 100% 1.2k $7.2k (exactly $7,188) Gammes
F2D - Steer To Persevere $9.99 16 100% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Zyg Studios
Wizard Tournament $6.99 13 76% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Rachop Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.