Do I ship it?

Games › Co-op › Co-op + Assassins

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Assassin Co-op game?

Co-op + Assassins

Only 7 developers shipped an Assassin Co-op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Justice Ninja Casey, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $60 against a market of $1.5k. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 17 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Assassins
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Co-op + Assassins: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $60 (exactly $60)
Top 25% $269 (exactly $269)
Top 5% $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 27
Announced 17
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Assassins
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 171,042 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $60, 1 in 4 over $260, 1 in 20 over $1.2k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 17 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Assassin's Creed® Unity 2014 · $71M Assassin's Creed® Syndicate 2015 · $28M Assassin's Creed® III Remastered 2019 · $18M Assassin’s Creed® Rogue 2015 · $13M Aragami 2016 · $6.1M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assassin's Creed® Unity older $29.99 79,116 77% 2.4M $71M (exactly $71,180,665) Ubisoft
Assassin's Creed® Syndicate older $29.99 31,087 80% 933k $28M (exactly $27,968,974) Ubisoft Quebec, in collaboration with U… (Ubisoft Quebec, in collaboration with Ubisoft Annecy, Bucharest, Kiev, Montreal, Montpellier, Shanghai, Singapore, Sofia, Toronto studios)
Assassin's Creed® III Remastered older $39.99 14,646 63% 439k $18M (exactly $17,570,806) Ubisoft Entertainment
Assassin’s Creed® Rogue older $19.99 21,310 86% 639k $13M (exactly $12,779,607) Ubisoft Sofia, Ubisoft Kiev
Aragami older $19.99 10,234 90% 307k $6.1M (exactly $6,137,330) Lince Works
Aragami 2 older $34.99 3,472 76% 104k $3.6M (exactly $3,644,558) Lince Works
Sniper Elite V2 Remastered older $34.99 3,437 78% 103k $3.6M (exactly $3,607,819) Rebellion
Styx: Shards of Darkness older $19.99 5,078 84% 152k $3.0M (exactly $3,045,277) Cyanide Studio
SpyParty · EA older $24.99 1,140 77% 34k $855k (exactly $854,658) Chris Hecker, John Cimino
West Hunt older $9.99 1,522 84% 46k $456k (exactly $456,143) NewGen
Justice Ninja Casey $5.99 7 85% 210 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) Sunsoft
Assassins Arena $2.99 3 0% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Nightshade Interactive
King Assassination $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Softera Gaming
Backrooms: The Wrong Door · EA $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) SUDT Games
Block Catching $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Justus Yew
Who Killed · EA $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Red Ray Games
Broken Pact · EA $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Samuka Gomes

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.