Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Artificial Intelligence

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an AI Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Artificial Intelligence

Only 17 developers shipped an AI Creature Collector in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Space Accident VR, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×187 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 31 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 31 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Artificial Intelligence
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $327 → $2.2k → $718 → $600 (still earning) → $16k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Artificial Intelligence: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $15,285)
Top 5% $118k (exactly $117,741)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 38
Announced 31
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Artificial Intelligence
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 962 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $720, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fish Game older $24.99 589 93% 18k $442k (exactly $441,573) A Shell in the Pit Games, Creative Ink… (A Shell in the Pit Games, Creative Ink Games)
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
The Bibites: Digital Life · EA $9.99 218 96% 6.5k $65k (exactly $65,335) Omnia Studios
Dofamine VR $9.99 173 82% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,848) VR-WRG
AI Pixel Battle $7.99 132 97% 4.0k $32k (exactly $31,640) MONO ENTERTAINMENT
Vilmonic older $14.99 69 69% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) Bludgeonsoft
SO BELOW · EA older $11.99 56 73% 1.7k $20k (exactly $20,143) Eonia Studio
Silan: Monster Girl Master! $8.99 60 95% 1.8k $16k (exactly $16,182) 愛の勇者
Hentai Dates $9.99 51 66% 1.5k $15k (exactly $15,285) Fantasy Games
Monster Girl Factory $9.99 50 84% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Quiet Crucible
My Pet Femboy $2.99 24 100% 720 $2.2k (exactly $2,153) FzzyBzzy
Neofold $3.99 15 93% 450 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) ChromaTactic
Tranquil Koi 鯉の池 $2.99 8 62% 240 $718 (exactly $718) FroggySoggy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.