Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Aliens

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alien Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Aliens

Of 23 developers who shipped an Alien Creature Collector in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $18k, ×30 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 33 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 33 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Aliens
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $31k → $2.4k → $0 → $2.4k → $1.5k → $538 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Aliens: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Top 5% $19k (exactly $18,591)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 51
Announced 33
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Aliens
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Survival
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Stylized, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 566 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Loddlenaut older $19.99 3,832 98% 115k $2.3M (exactly $2,298,050) Moon Lagoon
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
Dofamine VR $9.99 173 82% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,848) VR-WRG
Ghost Signal: A Stellaris Game older $9.99 104 93% 3.1k $31k (exactly $31,169) Windswept Interactive, Fast Travel Games
Xenowars $19.99 31 83% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) Strategeion Studios
100 hidden dogs older $0.99 552 93% 17k $16k (exactly $16,394) Anatoliy Loginovskikh, Аlexandr Telminov
Gas Giant Voyage $7.99 60 91% 1.8k $14k (exactly $14,382) 1023 Technology
100 hidden aliens older $0.99 481 86% 14k $14k (exactly $14,286) Anatoliy Loginovskikh, Khud0
Search of Galaxy · EA older $9.99 25 52% 750 $7.5k (exactly $7,492) DRAGONnoid
Witchcrafter The TCG $15.99 12 83% 360 $5.8k (exactly $5,756) Spear Group Limited
GLOOPALAXY $4.99 31 96% 930 $4.6k (exactly $4,641) Felis Major
Mission: Rift seeker $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) OneManGames
Planet Hoarders · EA $7.99 10 60% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) Imago Games
Melting Encyclopedia $4.99 10 90% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Ivanka Wolpman
Alien Battlefield $9.99 4 0% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) TapfunGame

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.