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Should I ship an Alien Bullet Time game?
Bullet Time + Aliens
Only 16 developers shipped an Alien Bullet Time game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Flying Tank, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $120 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 20 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $269 (exactly $269) |
| Top 25% | $3.4k (exactly $3,409) |
| Top 5% | $44k (exactly $43,621) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 55 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Time
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Aliens
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Bullet Time
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 88% positive over 210 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Time with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + NoirFair
- + LogicFair
- + Boomer ShooterFair
- + LootFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + StrategyFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + Quick-Time EventsLong shot
- + On-Rails ShooterLong shot
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Beat 'em upPoor odds
Comparable games
Flying Tank 2024 · $44k 
Nelo 2017 · EA · $21k 
Timothy vs the Aliens 2021 · $7.6k 
Void Prison 2022 · $7.2k 
The Purge Day 2016 · $6.4k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Flying Tank | $14.99 | 97 86% | 2.9k | $44k (exactly $43,621) | Hexage | |
| | Nelo | · EA older | $4.99 | 139 69% | 4.2k | $21k (exactly $20,808) | Magic and Mirrors |
| | Timothy vs the Aliens | older | $16.99 | 15 73% | 450 | $7.6k (exactly $7,645) | WildSphere |
| | Void Prison | older | $2.99 | 80 80% | 2.4k | $7.2k (exactly $7,176) | Lazy Flock |
| | The Purge Day | older | $4.99 | 43 69% | 1.3k | $6.4k (exactly $6,437) | Red Limb Studio |
 | Astro Fighters 2 | $9.99 | 18 88% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | Paul Connor | |
 | Vector Prospector | older | $7.99 | 21 80% | 630 | $5.0k (exactly $5,034) | SpinAttack Studio |
 | HEVN | older | $9.99 | 16 37% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | Miga Games |
 | SuperOffice | older | $9.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | Growing Seed Games |
 | REDSHOT | older | $7.99 | 17 70% | 510 | $4.1k (exactly $4,075) | Brian Lynch |
 | Blast Rush LS | $9.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Bipedal Dog | |
 | DOSTAVKA | $2.99 | 38 92% | 1.1k | $3.4k (exactly $3,409) | SASHADEV, SASHA | |
 | Breach the Abyss | $4.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) | Digital Firewood | |
 | Blood Storm: Alien Purge | $4.99 | 15 73% | 450 | $2.2k (exactly $2,246) | Nicholas Games | |
 | Space Bross | $7.99 | 7 57% | 210 | $1.7k (exactly $1,678) | Lavega Games | |
 | Cosmic Scramble | $2.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | Nerdy Birdy Games | |
 | The Swarm 2 | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Solsgames | |
 | lone.AI | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Digital Drank |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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