Do I ship it?

Games › Bullet Time › Bullet Time + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Time Action Roguelike?

Bullet Time + Action Roguelike

Of 99 developers who shipped a Bullet Time Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 155 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 155 games are announced against 64 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper, while revenue is up 10% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 155 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Time + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 99
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $450 → $2.2k → $1.2k → $1.8k → $300 → $269 → $359 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Time + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 99
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,876)
Top 5% $94k (exactly $94,406)
Developers, 2 yr 99
Released games 221
Announced 155
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Time
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Bullet Time, Action Roguelike; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Bullet Hell, Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, First-Person, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 4,184 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $94k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 39 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 155 games are announced against 64 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Time with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NoirFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + LogicFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  4. + LootFair15 devs · median $836 · 21 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair13 devs · median $718 · 8 announced
  6. + StrategyFair60 devs · median $599 · 59 announced
  7. + Tower DefenseFair20 devs · median $597 · 20 announced
  8. + Quick-Time EventsLong shot10 devs · median $390 · 15 announced
  9. + On-Rails ShooterLong shot8 devs · median $359 · 8 announced
  10. + DystopianPoor odds13 devs · median $44k · 39 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds13 devs · median $5.4k · 30 announced
  12. + Beat 'em upPoor odds11 devs · median $4.7k · 19 announced

All 95 pairs on the Bullet Time page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

SUPERHOT: MIND CONTROL DELETE 2020 · $6.9M Heat Signature 2017 · $3.1M OTXO 2023 · $1.5M Killer Bean 2026 · EA · $1.0M Blazing Beaks 2019 · $919k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SUPERHOT: MIND CONTROL DELETE older $24.99 9,247 85% 277k $6.9M (exactly $6,932,476) SUPERHOT Team
Heat Signature older $14.99 6,849 94% 205k $3.1M (exactly $3,079,995) Suspicious Developments
OTXO older $14.99 3,303 93% 99k $1.5M (exactly $1,485,359) Lateralis Heavy Industries
Killer Bean · EA $14.99 2,272 73% 68k $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718) Killer Bean Studios LLC
Blazing Beaks older $14.99 2,043 84% 61k $919k (exactly $918,737) Applava
Hellsweeper VR older $19.99 519 85% 16k $311k (exactly $311,244) Mixed Realms Pte Ltd
Orbital Bullet – The 360° Rogue-lite older $16.99 601 82% 18k $306k (exactly $306,330) SmokeStab
RAM: Random Access Mayhem $14.99 611 97% 18k $275k (exactly $274,767) Xylem Studios
RICO older $19.99 428 61% 13k $257k (exactly $256,672) Ground Shatter
Dark Future: Blood Red States (Classic) older $24.99 250 70% 7.5k $187k (exactly $187,425) Auroch Digital
Voidborn $12.99 349 81% 10k $136k (exactly $136,005) Xekvera
Touhou Lensed Night Sky, Kaseigai $22.00 144 95% 4.3k $95k (exactly $95,040) Fire Land
Maze Mice $9.99 315 88% 9.5k $94k (exactly $94,406) TrampolineTales
UNYIELDER $24.99 117 62% 3.5k $88k (exactly $87,715) TrueWorld Studios
Titans of the Past $24.99 108 83% 3.2k $81k (exactly $80,968) Devil's Dozen Games
Flying Tank $14.99 97 86% 2.9k $44k (exactly $43,621) Hexage
Asterogues $14.99 83 90% 2.5k $37k (exactly $37,325) pipotchi600
Time Snatcher Handy $9.99 88 96% 2.6k $26k (exactly $26,374) PulleyBun, ClockworkCats

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.