Games › Loot › Loot + 4 Player Local
Should I ship a Loot 4 Player Local game?
Loot + 4 Player Local
Only 8 developers shipped a Loot 4 Player Local game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, HexBreaker Ⅱ, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $900 against a market of $630. 16 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $479 (exactly $479) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $10k (exactly $10,195) |
| Top 5% | $629k (exactly $629,085) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Loot
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- 4 Player Local
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Loot, 4 Player Local
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 34,904 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Loot with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds
- + Local Co-OpStrong odds
- + SteampunkStrong odds
- + CapitalismFair
- + Turn-Based StrategyFair
- + JRPGFair
- + EconomyFair
- + IdlerFair
- + CatsFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + CollectathonFair
Comparable games
Lost Castle / 失落城堡 2016 · $5.5M 
Chronicon 2020 · $3.7M 
Nine Parchments 2017 · $2.5M 
HexBreaker Ⅱ 2026 · $629k 
Super Motherload 2014 · $353k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Lost Castle / 失落城堡 | older | $9.99 | 18,417 87% | 553k | $5.5M (exactly $5,519,575) | Hunter Studio |
| | Chronicon | older | $13.99 | 8,822 94% | 265k | $3.7M (exactly $3,702,593) | Subworld |
| | Nine Parchments | older | $19.99 | 4,123 77% | 124k | $2.5M (exactly $2,472,563) | Frozenbyte |
| | HexBreaker Ⅱ | $19.99 | 1,049 64% | 31k | $629k (exactly $629,085) | 灵煦工作室 | |
| | Super Motherload | older | $14.99 | 784 77% | 24k | $353k (exactly $352,565) | XGen Studios |
 | Son of a Witch | older | $23.99 | 350 84% | 11k | $252k (exactly $251,895) | Bigosaur |
 | Super Cane Magic ZERO - Legend of the Cane Cane | older | $19.99 | 370 88% | 11k | $222k (exactly $221,889) | Studio Evil |
 | Conan Chop Chop | older | $14.99 | 423 65% | 13k | $190k (exactly $190,223) | Mighty Kingdom |
 | Ants Took My Eyeball | older | $12.99 | 248 93% | 7.4k | $97k (exactly $96,646) | Bosmic Forge |
 | Tallowmere 2: Curse of the Kittens | older | $9.99 | 318 80% | 9.5k | $95k (exactly $95,305) | Chris McFarland |
 | Light Fingers | $19.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $10k (exactly $10,195) | Numizmatic | |
 | Brigands | $9.99 | 15 73% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | Simon Rinfret, Azooloom | |
 | Anarkade | $14.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $899 (exactly $899) | Pixelatom | |
 | Blackbeard's Treasure | $7.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $479 (exactly $479) | SAT-BOX | |
 | All But Weak | · EA | $3.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $479 (exactly $479) | Hikyu |
 | Hustle Together | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Andrew Kane | |
 | Classic Bibe | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Chimene Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.