Do I ship it?

GamesBullet TimeBullet Time + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Time 2D Platformer?

Bullet Time + 2D Platformer

Of 30 developers who shipped a Bullet Time 2D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 56 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 14 developers shipped in the last year and 56 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 56 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bullet Time + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $269 → $300 → $449 → $210 → $239 → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bullet Time + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $719 (exactly $719)
Top 5% $427k (exactly $427,215)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 104
Announced 56
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bullet Time
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Bullet Time, 2D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cartoony, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 8,980 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $710, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 56 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Bullet Time with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NoirFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + LogicFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterFair30 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  4. + LootFair15 devs · median $836 · 21 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair13 devs · median $718 · 8 announced
  6. + StrategyFair60 devs · median $599 · 59 announced
  7. + Tower DefenseFair20 devs · median $597 · 20 announced
  8. + Quick-Time EventsLong shot10 devs · median $390 · 15 announced
  9. + On-Rails ShooterLong shot8 devs · median $359 · 8 announced
  10. + DystopianPoor odds13 devs · median $44k · 39 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds13 devs · median $5.4k · 30 announced
  12. + Beat 'em upPoor odds11 devs · median $4.7k · 19 announced

All 95 pairs on the Bullet Time page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Laika: Aged Through Blood older $19.99 5,938 91% 178k $3.6M (exactly $3,561,019) Brainwash Gang
Stick It to the Stickman · EA $11.99 7,918 96% 238k $2.8M (exactly $2,848,105) Free Lives
Guns of Fury $14.99 950 88% 29k $427k (exactly $427,215) Gelato Games Ltd
Orbital Bullet – The 360° Rogue-lite older $16.99 601 82% 18k $306k (exactly $306,330) SmokeStab
Rise & Shine older $9.99 453 73% 14k $136k (exactly $135,764) Super Mega Team
Soldat 2 · EA older $7.99 386 85% 12k $93k (exactly $92,524) Transhuman Design
David. older $1.99 581 79% 17k $35k (exactly $34,686) Fermenter Games
Sacre Bleu $14.99 46 82% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) Hildring Studio Inc
Incaved Runner older $3.99 78 96% 2.3k $9.3k (exactly $9,337) DualWielded
Hit Zero: Chronos older $4.99 41 70% 1.2k $6.1k (exactly $6,138) ZHANG FAN
the Shadow of Swallow $3.99 30 76% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) Raine Studio
Dunk Dunk $6.99 14 92% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Badgerhammer Limited
INJECTION $7.99 10 70% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) ButterCorp
Death Trap Mountain $12.99 2 100% 60 $779 (exactly $779) Daniel Gill
Retro Sniper $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Franks.Games, franks.games
SCP: Pale Weaver $5.99 4 0% 120 $719 (exactly $719) why so serious?
Rosa Inferna $5.99 3 33% 90 $539 (exactly $539) OZNA STUDIO

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.