Should I ship a Wrestling game?
Wrestling
Of 43 developers who shipped a Wrestling game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 73 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×253 the market median. Revenue is up 235% on the market; 73 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $539 (exactly $539) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.1k (exactly $2,090) |
| Top 25% | $17k (exactly $17,258) |
| Top 5% | $159k (exactly $158,920) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 43 |
| Released games | 152 |
| Announced | 73 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 235% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Wrestling
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Wrestling
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $20.00 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $20.00 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 69% positive over 9,447 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $540. 8 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 73 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.
All pairs with Wrestling
- Wrestling + Martial Arts Poor odds $2.1k
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | WWE 2K25 | $59.99 | 4,108 73% | 123k | $7.4M (exactly $7,393,168) | Visual Concepts | |
| | 60 Seconds! Reatomized | older | $9.99 | 18,362 94% | 551k | $5.5M (exactly $5,503,091) | Robot Gentleman |
| | WWE 2K26 | $69.99 | 2,310 56% | 69k | $4.9M (exactly $4,850,307) | Visual Concepts | |
| | 60 Seconds! | older | $8.99 | 10,491 84% | 315k | $2.8M (exactly $2,829,423) | Robot Gentleman |
| | Fire Pro Wrestling World | older | $29.99 | 3,124 91% | 94k | $2.8M (exactly $2,810,663) | Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd. |
| | Wrestling Empire | older | $19.99 | 3,036 94% | 91k | $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) | MDickie |
| | Guacamelee! 2 | older | $19.99 | 2,711 91% | 81k | $1.6M (exactly $1,625,787) | Drinkbox Studios |
| | AEW: Fight Forever | older | $39.99 | 1,343 59% | 40k | $1.6M (exactly $1,611,197) | YUKE'S |
| | Guacamelee! Super Turbo Championship Edition | older | $14.99 | 2,633 93% | 79k | $1.2M (exactly $1,184,060) | Drinkbox Studios |
| | Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage | $19.99 | 1,897 71% | 57k | $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631) | RGG Studio | |
| | Rancher: A new life | · EA | $19.99 | 265 64% | 8.0k | $159k (exactly $158,920) | Sim Farm S.A. |
| | Infinite Lives | $14.99 | 217 76% | 6.5k | $98k (exactly $97,585) | MDickie | |
| | Something To Write About: Unbroken: Book One | $13.99 | 201 90% | 6.0k | $84k (exactly $84,360) | SeanchaiStudios | |
| | Femboy Futa Mania 🌶️ | $14.99 | 174 71% | 5.2k | $78k (exactly $78,248) | Lewd Star | |
| | SACRIFICE VILLAINS | $19.99 | 130 83% | 3.9k | $78k (exactly $77,961) | CLOCKUP | |
| | Pro Wrestler Story | $8.99 | 109 49% | 3.3k | $29k (exactly $29,397) | Kairosoft Co.,Ltd | |
| | Kinky Fight Club 2 | $20.00 | 36 91% | 1.1k | $22k (exactly $21,600) | Skyflare Studios, MrZGames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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