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Should I ship a War Twin Stick Shooter?
Twin Stick Shooter + War
Only 15 developers shipped a War Twin Stick Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cleared Hot, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $2.1M, ×3381 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 32 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $479 (exactly $479) |
| Top 25% | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) |
| Top 5% | $2.1M (exactly $2,123,180) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 53 |
| Announced | 32 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Twin Stick Shooter
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- War
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Twin Stick Shooter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Top-Down Shooter
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Retro
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 96% positive over 4,011 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Twin Stick Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + Looter ShooterPoor odds
- + Bullet HeavenPoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + MedievalPoor odds
- + LootPoor odds
- + Action RPGPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + 2D FighterPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | War Mongrels | older | $44.99 | 1,826 72% | 55k | $2.5M (exactly $2,464,552) | Destructive Creations |
| | Cleared Hot | · EA | $17.99 | 3,934 96% | 118k | $2.1M (exactly $2,123,180) | Not Knowing Corporation |
| | Renegade Ops | older | $15.00 | 1,005 85% | 30k | $452k (exactly $452,250) | Avalanche Studios |
| | Cyberhunt | older | $4.99 | 2,741 84% | 82k | $410k (exactly $410,328) | NukGames |
| | CYGNI: All Guns Blazing | older | $29.99 | 448 60% | 13k | $403k (exactly $403,066) | KeelWorks |
| | Rise & Shine | older | $9.99 | 453 73% | 14k | $136k (exactly $135,764) | Super Mega Team |
| | Megacopter: Blades of the Goddess | older | $9.99 | 220 91% | 6.6k | $66k (exactly $65,934) | Pizza Bear Games |
| | Tanky Tanks 2 | older | $9.99 | 45 100% | 1.4k | $13k (exactly $13,486) | EpiXR Games UG |
| | Gravity Ace | older | $7.99 | 34 97% | 1.0k | $8.2k (exactly $8,150) | Crowfriend, John Watson |
| | SANDRIPPER | $5.99 | 35 91% | 1.1k | $6.3k (exactly $6,290) | Mack | |
| | Front Lines | $1.99 | 23 60% | 690 | $1.4k (exactly $1,373) | Waterfoul Studios | |
| | Alastrius: Star-Fighter | $11.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | Caledonia Interactive | |
| | Red Siren: Space Defense | $14.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $899 (exactly $899) | ISTOM Games | |
| | Tacticell Arena | $4.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Antheed | |
| | Furball Over the Front | $4.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Page Blue House | |
| | 雷霆之眼 | $7.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $479 (exactly $479) | 小如文化 | |
| | Blitz Society | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Ryan Evans | |
| | Spudtoon - Born To Peel | $6.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | simon Emms |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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