Do I ship it?

GamesVehicular CombatVehicular Combat + Turn-Based Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Tactics Vehicular Combat game?

Vehicular Combat + Turn-Based Tactics

Only 5 developers shipped a Turn-Based Tactics Vehicular Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dust Raiders, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×13 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.3k against a market of $630. 25 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 25 announced, ×13 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Vehicular Combat + Turn-Based Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Vehicular Combat + Turn-Based Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,279)
Top 25% $3.5k (exactly $3,506)
Top 5% $77k (exactly $76,752)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 25
Announced 25
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Vehicular Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Vehicular Combat, Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 2,763 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.8k, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $76k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×13 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Vehicular Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Looter ShooterFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  2. + BuildingPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  3. + Online Co-OpPoor odds29 devs · median $62k · 75 announced
  4. + Co-opPoor odds38 devs · median $32k · 101 announced
  5. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $32k · 36 announced
  6. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $20k · 43 announced
  7. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $15k · 97 announced
  8. + ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 36 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds25 devs · median $10k · 70 announced
  10. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $8.6k · 25 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds24 devs · median $4.8k · 52 announced

All 98 pairs on the Vehicular Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Troop older $39.99 816 83% 24k $979k (exactly $978,955) Giant Flame
Headquarters: World War II older $39.99 508 74% 15k $609k (exactly $609,448) Starni Games
Death Roads: Tournament older $14.99 729 80% 22k $328k (exactly $327,831) The Knights of Unity
Dark Future: Blood Red States (Classic) older $24.99 250 70% 7.5k $187k (exactly $187,425) Auroch Digital
Raceborn older $29.99 87 82% 2.6k $78k (exactly $78,274) Galactic Geckon
Dust Raiders $15.99 160 64% 4.8k $77k (exactly $76,752) Vixa Games
Wings of Glory older $14.99 92 80% 2.8k $41k (exactly $41,372) Dire Wolf
Racingmaybe older $9.99 77 100% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,077) Jhoffis
Dead Hand older $19.99 31 80% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) One Man Army Games
Starbug Troopers : The 4 horseflies of the apocalypse $8.99 13 84% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) Big Loot Games
Oath of Steel $18.99 4 0% 120 $2.3k (exactly $2,279) Ling Jun
Assault Commander Rearmed $11.99 5 80% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) VTDev Informatikai Kft.
Daily War Online $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Xorbis

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.