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Should I ship a Transhumanist Walking Simulator?
Walking Simulator + Transhumanism
Only 10 developers shipped a Transhumanist Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ambrosia Sky, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×421 the market median. Revenue is up 350% on the market; 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.2k (exactly $2,209) |
| Top 25% | $5.4k (exactly $5,415) |
| Top 5% | $200k (exactly $200,170) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Transhumanism
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Walking Simulator
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 89% positive over 426 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WarFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + MusicFair
- + SupernaturalFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + NoirFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Bomb Rush Cyberfunk | older | $39.99 | 12,645 98% | 379k | $15M (exactly $15,170,206) | Team Reptile |
| | Nobody Wants to Die | older | $24.99 | 5,818 83% | 175k | $4.4M (exactly $4,361,755) | Critical Hit Games |
| | Paradise Lost | older | $14.99 | 1,469 67% | 44k | $661k (exactly $660,609) | PolyAmorous |
| | Ambrosia Sky | $24.99 | 267 89% | 8.0k | $200k (exactly $200,170) | Soft Rains, Blackbird Interactive | |
| | It Comes In Waves | older | $2.99 | 382 92% | 11k | $34k (exactly $34,265) | Antonio Freyre |
| | Queer Man Peering Into A Rock Pool.jpg | older | $9.99 | 92 97% | 2.8k | $28k (exactly $27,572) | Fuzzy Ghost |
| | The Silent Swan | older | $6.99 | 59 64% | 1.8k | $12k (exactly $12,372) | Praenaris |
| | Project Looking Glass | $4.99 | 47 100% | 1.4k | $7.0k (exactly $7,036) | MORPH | |
| | Imago Season | $9.50 | 19 89% | 570 | $5.4k (exactly $5,415) | Lunar Finch | |
| | the travelers | $4.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | Gabriel Games LLC | |
| | Sunset Humanity | $1.99 | 37 83% | 1.1k | $2.2k (exactly $2,209) | Jayden Everest | |
| | DRINK HUMAN BEANS | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Last Dissent | |
| | Lullabies Made of Static | $4.99 | 11 72% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Texhno Studios | |
| | BRUTALISMUS: Dystopia | $1.99 | 16 56% | 480 | $955 (exactly $955) | ETERNIDAD | |
| | Why Did You Leave Me Like This? | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | LeahGames | |
| | Maze Simulator | $3.35 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | hjdhdh |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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