Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + Transhumanism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Transhumanist Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Transhumanism

Only 10 developers shipped a Transhumanist Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ambrosia Sky, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×421 the market median. Revenue is up 350% on the market; 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 350% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Transhumanism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Transhumanism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,209)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,415)
Top 5% $200k (exactly $200,170)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 25
Announced 17
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Transhumanism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 89% positive over 426 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $5.4k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bomb Rush Cyberfunk older $39.99 12,645 98% 379k $15M (exactly $15,170,206) Team Reptile
Nobody Wants to Die older $24.99 5,818 83% 175k $4.4M (exactly $4,361,755) Critical Hit Games
Paradise Lost older $14.99 1,469 67% 44k $661k (exactly $660,609) PolyAmorous
Ambrosia Sky $24.99 267 89% 8.0k $200k (exactly $200,170) Soft Rains, Blackbird Interactive
It Comes In Waves older $2.99 382 92% 11k $34k (exactly $34,265) Antonio Freyre
Queer Man Peering Into A Rock Pool.jpg older $9.99 92 97% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,572) Fuzzy Ghost
The Silent Swan older $6.99 59 64% 1.8k $12k (exactly $12,372) Praenaris
Project Looking Glass $4.99 47 100% 1.4k $7.0k (exactly $7,036) MORPH
Imago Season $9.50 19 89% 570 $5.4k (exactly $5,415) Lunar Finch
the travelers $4.99 16 100% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Gabriel Games LLC
Sunset Humanity $1.99 37 83% 1.1k $2.2k (exactly $2,209) Jayden Everest
DRINK HUMAN BEANS $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Last Dissent
Lullabies Made of Static $4.99 11 72% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Texhno Studios
BRUTALISMUS: Dystopia $1.99 16 56% 480 $955 (exactly $955) ETERNIDAD
Why Did You Leave Me Like This? $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) LeahGames
Maze Simulator $3.35 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) hjdhdh

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.