Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Time Travel

Only 13 developers shipped a Time-Travel Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cybernetic Fault, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×5.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $300k, ×643 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 27 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $600 → $1.0k → $46k → $1.4k
Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Top 25% $46k (exactly $46,154)
Top 5% $305k (exactly $305,346)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 47
Announced 27
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,550 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $46k, 1 in 20 over $300k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Life is Strange: Before the Storm older $16.99 33,504 93% 1.0M $17M (exactly $17,076,989) Deck Nine, Feral Interactive (Mac), Fer… (Deck Nine, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
The Forgotten City older $24.99 11,159 96% 335k $8.4M (exactly $8,365,902) Modern Storyteller
Last Day of June older $19.99 2,946 87% 88k $1.8M (exactly $1,766,716) Ovosonico
The Gardens Between older $19.99 2,362 93% 71k $1.4M (exactly $1,416,491) The Voxel Agents
Cybernetic Fault $14.99 679 78% 20k $305k (exactly $305,346) Whale Rock Games
Radiolight $14.99 414 90% 12k $186k (exactly $186,176) Krystof Knesl
Between Time: Escape Room older $9.99 326 80% 9.8k $98k (exactly $97,702) mc2games
BRINK Traveler older $14.99 188 87% 5.6k $85k (exactly $84,544) BRINK XR
Pyramids and Aliens: Escape Room $12.99 191 81% 5.7k $74k (exactly $74,433) mc2games
NOSTALGIC TRAIN older $11.99 187 76% 5.6k $67k (exactly $67,264) Tatamibeya 畳部屋
Sea Chronicles $9.99 154 90% 4.6k $46k (exactly $46,154) Madi Abdykarimov
火起雪中寺 $10.99 59 77% 1.8k $19k (exactly $19,452) 江湖奇事录
The Backrooms: Rescue Expedition $9.99 21 33% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) {CRYTIME}
Denbora $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Bionic Ape
FORMIDO $2.99 16 81% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,435) Tonguç Bodur
P1: Anchor Light $7.99 5 80% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Deadbolt Interactive, Perp Games
Kozyrev Horrors $4.99 7 85% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Catsprout

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.