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Should I ship a Supernatural Word Game?
Word Game + Supernatural
Only 14 developers shipped a Supernatural Word Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Séance of Blake Manor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.9k, ×10 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $2.2M, ×4650 the market median. Revenue is up 565% on the market; 20 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.9k (exactly $4,852) |
| Top 25% | $34k (exactly $34,114) |
| Top 5% | $2.2M (exactly $2,208,695) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 565% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Word Game
- effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI
- Supernatural
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Word Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Investigation, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Story Rich, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 5,068 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Word Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SurvivalFair
- + TacticalFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LootFair
- + AutomationFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureFair
- + DetectiveFair
- + Procedural GenerationFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + NatureFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Séance of Blake Manor | $19.99 | 3,683 95% | 110k | $2.2M (exactly $2,208,695) | Spooky Doorway | |
| | Vampires' Melody | older | $3.99 | 5,559 97% | 167k | $665k (exactly $665,412) | AsicxArt |
| | Paper Bride | older | $7.99 | 2,030 91% | 61k | $487k (exactly $486,591) | HeartBeat Plus |
| | Paper Bride 2 Zangling Village | older | $9.99 | 1,010 91% | 30k | $303k (exactly $302,697) | HeartBeat Plus |
| | Anomalous Coffee Machine 2 | $6.99 | 753 81% | 23k | $158k (exactly $157,904) | HoruBrain Interactive | |
| | Rubbings | $9.99 | 183 87% | 5.5k | $55k (exactly $54,845) | 午夜说书人 | |
| | 咒影 Curse of the Shadow | $3.99 | 285 81% | 8.6k | $34k (exactly $34,114) | 小青蛙妙妙制作组 | |
| | Dark Notes | older | $7.99 | 108 75% | 3.2k | $26k (exactly $25,888) | HeartBeat Plus |
| | LakeLady | $7.99 | 76 80% | 2.3k | $18k (exactly $18,217) | HungerWhale Games | |
| | 品玉庵异谈 PinYuAn Tales | older | $3.99 | 100 93% | 3.0k | $12k (exactly $11,970) | 小青蛙妙妙制作组 |
| | THE TALE OF SPRING CITY | $8.99 | 21 76% | 630 | $5.7k (exactly $5,664) | 图南工作室(Tunan Studio) | |
| | One Day | $5.99 | 27 100% | 810 | $4.9k (exactly $4,852) | LSAusa | |
| | Bedtime Story : Saint | $1.99 | 22 72% | 660 | $1.3k (exactly $1,313) | TinyBigger | |
| | cijian appearance | $2.40 | 14 78% | 420 | $1.0k (exactly $1,008) | 万象重工制作zu | |
| | Obsession | $4.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | spektor |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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