Do I ship it?

GamesStrategyStrategy + Werewolves

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Werewolf Strategy game?

Strategy + Werewolves

Only 13 developers shipped a Werewolf Strategy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Night is Coming, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $0, under ×0.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 32 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper, while revenue is down 100% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 32 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy + Werewolves
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $23k → $7.2k → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy + Werewolves: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $7.2k (exactly $7,196)
Top 5% $290k (exactly $290,134)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 54
Announced 32
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 235% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Werewolves
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Choices Matter, Dungeon Crawler
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 6 games average 66% positive over 562 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $7.1k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds50 devs · median $65k · 27 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair62 devs · median $16k · 74 announced
  3. + BaseballFair14 devs · median $7.5k · 7 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Fair89 devs · median $6.7k · 91 announced
  5. + WuxiaFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 41 announced
  6. + FarmingFair44 devs · median $4.3k · 42 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 94 announced
  8. + SubmarineFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  9. + NavalFair66 devs · median $2.2k · 88 announced
  10. + IdlerFair696 devs · median $1.9k · 988 announced
  11. + Shop KeeperFair159 devs · median $1.8k · 264 announced
  12. + HackingFair96 devs · median $1.2k · 132 announced

All 275 pairs on the Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Town of Salem older $4.99 30,882 88% 926k $4.6M (exactly $4,623,035) BlankMediaGames
Disciples: Liberation older $39.99 2,706 73% 81k $3.2M (exactly $3,246,388) Frima Studio
KeeperRL older $19.99 1,677 83% 50k $1.0M (exactly $1,005,697) Electric Succubi
Necrosmith older $2.99 4,885 85% 147k $438k (exactly $438,185) Alawar
Agrou older $4.99 2,267 86% 68k $339k (exactly $339,370) Osmose Studio
Night is Coming · EA $24.99 387 59% 12k $290k (exactly $290,134) Wild Forest Studio
Eville older $14.99 433 68% 13k $195k (exactly $194,720) VestGames
The Matriarch older $4.99 724 75% 22k $108k (exactly $108,383) Chewa
Werewolves Within™ older $19.99 135 65% 4.1k $81k (exactly $80,960) Ubisoft
Lycans older $4.99 309 91% 9.3k $46k (exactly $46,257) Onu Games
Successor $24.99 43 60% 1.3k $32k (exactly $32,237) Playwood Project
Ascension to the Throne: Valkyrie $4.99 102 89% 3.1k $15k (exactly $15,269) DVS
Dolven $19.99 12 75% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) Covyne Entertainment, The Kids From Yes… (Covyne Entertainment, The Kids From Yesterday)
Monolilith · EA $7.99 17 88% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Malerouille
Silent Howl $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Yorbi
Liar's Game $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 林某人游戏工作室
Silver · EA $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Bezier Games
Moon and Fang $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) WivernRider
Papermancer $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) The Zivraye Group

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.