Do I ship it?

GamesStrategyStrategy + Trivia

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trivia Strategy game?

Strategy + Trivia

Of 41 developers who shipped a Trivia Strategy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 28 developers shipped in the last year and 54 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 54 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy + Trivia
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 41
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $807 → $450 → $179 → $1.9k → $300 → $2.2k → $299 (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy + Trivia: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 41
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,491)
Top 5% $99k (exactly $98,934)
Developers, 2 yr 41
Released games 174
Announced 54
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Trivia
effort 1 / 10 · high · question bank and scoring

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy, Trivia; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 36% positive over 23,511 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $450, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $98k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds50 devs · median $65k · 27 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair62 devs · median $16k · 74 announced
  3. + BaseballFair14 devs · median $7.5k · 7 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Fair89 devs · median $6.7k · 91 announced
  5. + WuxiaFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 41 announced
  6. + FarmingFair44 devs · median $4.3k · 42 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 94 announced
  8. + SubmarineFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  9. + NavalFair66 devs · median $2.2k · 88 announced
  10. + IdlerFair696 devs · median $1.9k · 988 announced
  11. + Shop KeeperFair159 devs · median $1.8k · 264 announced
  12. + HackingFair96 devs · median $1.2k · 132 announced

All 275 pairs on the Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Jackbox Party Pack 3 older $24.99 5,139 96% 154k $3.9M (exactly $3,852,708) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Jackbox Party Pack 6 older $29.99 2,343 95% 70k $2.1M (exactly $2,107,997) Jackbox Games, Inc.
BidKing $2.99 22,238 33% 667k $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749) MindSurge Network & Games
The Jackbox Party Pack 5 older $29.99 2,180 93% 65k $2.0M (exactly $1,961,346) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Jackbox Party Pack 4 older $24.99 2,478 94% 74k $1.9M (exactly $1,857,757) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Jackbox Party Pack older $24.99 1,467 90% 44k $1.1M (exactly $1,099,810) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Jackbox Party Pack 2 older $24.99 1,447 95% 43k $1.1M (exactly $1,084,816) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Jackbox Party Pack 8 older $29.99 1,134 90% 34k $1.0M (exactly $1,020,260) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Jackbox Party Pack 9 older $29.99 605 84% 18k $544k (exactly $544,318) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Jackbox Party Pack 10 older $29.99 500 65% 15k $450k (exactly $449,850) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Jackbox Party Pack 11 $29.99 419 93% 13k $377k (exactly $376,974) Jackbox Games, Inc.
Trivia Tricks $14.99 220 93% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) 3-Tricks
The Jackbox Survey Scramble $9.99 318 90% 9.5k $95k (exactly $95,305) Jackbox Games, Inc
探岛海龟汤 $9.99 110 71% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,967) 探岛工作室
The Angel's Devil Tail - One More Question 2 $9.99 70 91% 2.1k $21k (exactly $20,979) 橘音
QSVT: ¡Que se vayan todos! $6.99 75 88% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,728) Sendero tecnológico
Duo Quest $14.99 26 65% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) 1+1 Studios
Fizz Quiz $14.99 20 50% 600 $9.0k (exactly $8,994) Moon
Trivia War $9.99 15 100% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Malachite Studios LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.