Do I ship it?

GamesStrategyStrategy + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel Strategy game?

Strategy + Time Travel

Of 36 developers who shipped a Time-Travel Strategy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 68 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×546 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 68 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 68 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $4.7k → $0 → $599 → $959 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 5% $343k (exactly $343,028)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 104
Announced 68
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Action, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 4,686 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $900, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 68 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds50 devs · median $65k · 27 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair62 devs · median $16k · 74 announced
  3. + BaseballFair14 devs · median $7.5k · 7 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Fair89 devs · median $6.7k · 91 announced
  5. + WuxiaFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 41 announced
  6. + FarmingFair44 devs · median $4.3k · 42 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 94 announced
  8. + SubmarineFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  9. + NavalFair66 devs · median $2.2k · 88 announced
  10. + IdlerFair696 devs · median $1.9k · 988 announced
  11. + Shop KeeperFair159 devs · median $1.8k · 264 announced
  12. + HackingFair96 devs · median $1.2k · 132 announced

All 275 pairs on the Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Depersonalization older $19.99 6,041 92% 181k $3.6M (exactly $3,622,788) MeowNature
Braid older $14.99 6,941 93% 208k $3.1M (exactly $3,121,368) Number None
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel older $11.99 8,097 96% 243k $2.9M (exactly $2,912,491) Conor Petersen, Thunkspace, LLC
Multiverse Loot Hunter $11.99 2,585 80% 78k $930k (exactly $929,824) 游戏养家工作室
Original War older $9.99 1,812 94% 54k $543k (exactly $543,056) Altar Games
Loop Queen-Escape Dungeon 3 older $19.99 611 84% 18k $366k (exactly $366,417) Hide Games
Million Depth $16.99 673 93% 20k $343k (exactly $343,028) Cyber Space Biotope
Time Warpers older $19.99 493 82% 15k $296k (exactly $295,652) Proton Studio Inc
Villages & Dungeons $6.99 1,036 91% 31k $217k (exactly $217,249) CaCaFrog Studio
Time Break Chronicles · EA older $14.99 298 88% 8.9k $134k (exactly $134,011) Warrior General Games, LLC
Loophole $9.99 154 99% 4.6k $46k (exactly $46,154) Levi Pinkert
刻印战记2:七圣英雄 $9.99 63 73% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,881) Lycian Studio
Tale of Immortal Ring $4.99 51 66% 1.5k $7.6k (exactly $7,635) Solo Gaming
Clockfall · EA $9.99 18 94% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Rever Games GmbH
Miracle Heroes: Temporal Bounty Hunter $1.99 79 92% 2.4k $4.7k (exactly $4,716) Cat Play Studio
Code Tycoon $9.99 15 80% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Mennen Games
Iconia Defenders $11.99 12 83% 360 $4.3k (exactly $4,316) Anawim Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.