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Should I ship a Science Walking Simulator?
Walking Simulator + Science
Only 16 developers shipped a Science Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ambrosia Sky, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×2.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×421 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 27 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 25% | $3.2k (exactly $3,224) |
| Top 5% | $200k (exactly $200,170) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 49 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Science
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Walking Simulator
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 613 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WarFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + MusicFair
- + SupernaturalFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + NoirFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Talos Principle 2 | older | $29.99 | 12,478 94% | 374k | $11M (exactly $11,226,457) | Croteam |
| | The Invincible | older | $29.99 | 10,055 87% | 302k | $9.0M (exactly $9,046,484) | Starward Industries |
| | Moons of Madness | older | $24.99 | 2,189 77% | 66k | $1.6M (exactly $1,641,093) | Rock Pocket Games |
| | Botany Manor | older | $24.99 | 1,028 94% | 31k | $771k (exactly $770,692) | Balloon Studios |
| | Beyond Blue | older | $19.99 | 1,055 88% | 32k | $633k (exactly $632,684) | E-Line Media |
| | Nucleares | older | $14.99 | 1,121 84% | 34k | $504k (exactly $504,114) | Iván Marcelo Pretti |
| | Haven Moon | older | $11.99 | 646 77% | 19k | $232k (exactly $232,366) | Francois Roussel |
| | The Light Remake | older | $4.99 | 1,462 87% | 44k | $219k (exactly $218,861) | Носков Сергей |
| | Ambrosia Sky | $24.99 | 267 89% | 8.0k | $200k (exactly $200,170) | Soft Rains, Blackbird Interactive | |
| | Tested on Humans: Escape Room | older | $9.99 | 434 87% | 13k | $130k (exactly $130,070) | mc2games |
| | Newton's Fourth Law | · EA | $11.99 | 224 93% | 6.7k | $81k (exactly $80,573) | Newtonian Studios |
| | Scientific project: Optic | $19.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) | KHVOYA Games | |
| | Hypotheses on the Symmetry between Vision and Hands | $1.99 | 54 96% | 1.6k | $3.2k (exactly $3,224) | Finger tip | |
| | Star Mission: Remote Sectors | $9.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Ralph Schaedler | |
| | SCP: Control Error | $2.99 | 25 52% | 750 | $2.2k (exactly $2,242) | Chieftain Artworks | |
| | Seven Days Until Morning | $5.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) | Foamy | |
| | Kozyrev Horrors | $4.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Catsprout | |
| | RE-ANIMATED | $5.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $539 (exactly $539) | Erratic Animist | |
| | Deeds were Done 2: Project Ascend | · EA | $5.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $539 (exactly $539) | Abdulhadi J Alshehri |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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