Do I ship it?

GamesWord GameWord Game + Sci-fi

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sci-fi Word Game?

Word Game + Sci-fi

Of 35 developers who shipped a Sci-fi Word Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 74 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×788 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 74 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 74 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Word Game + Sci-fi
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $539 → $1.7k → $1.0k → $52k → $1.8k → $90 (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Word Game + Sci-fi: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $597 (exactly $597)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,759)
Top 5% $374k (exactly $374,172)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 90
Announced 74
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI
Sci-fi
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Word Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Adventure, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$5.00 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 4,968 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $600, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 74 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Word Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SurvivalFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  2. + TacticalFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  3. + Point & ClickFair60 devs · median $1.6k · 56 announced
  4. + LootFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 8 announced
  5. + AutomationFair12 devs · median $1.6k · 11 announced
  6. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  7. + DetectiveFair82 devs · median $1.3k · 90 announced
  8. + Procedural GenerationFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair18 devs · median $1.2k · 16 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair29 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  11. + IncrementalFair91 devs · median $1.2k · 77 announced
  12. + NatureFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 8 announced

All 98 pairs on the Word Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WILL: A Wonderful World / WILL:美好世界 older $14.99 4,588 92% 138k $2.1M (exactly $2,063,224) WMY Studio
S4U: CITYPUNK 2011 AND LOVE PUNCH $13.99 2,324 90% 70k $975k (exactly $975,383) U0U Games
Aliya: Timelink older $2.99 8,587 97% 258k $770k (exactly $770,254) TDGame Studio
The Inn-Sanity $7.99 1,561 96% 47k $374k (exactly $374,172) Steppe Hare Studio
Lightracer: For Judge $9.99 462 92% 14k $138k (exactly $138,461) Smartmelon Games
云端之约 older $7.99 466 93% 14k $112k (exactly $111,700) White Star Studio
Sekai to Sekai no Mannaka de older $29.99 106 88% 3.2k $95k (exactly $95,368) Lump of Sugar
1bitHeart older $2.99 849 91% 25k $76k (exactly $76,155) △○□× (Miwashiba)
Uberich: Advent Sinners $14.99 151 73% 4.5k $68k (exactly $67,905) NBDR Games
Nobody Nowhere $9.99 172 93% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,548) 深渊标记 Tag:hadal
Jukai Maze $6.99 107 86% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,438) 致意
RSSU - Retro Style Soviet Undies · EA $9.99 59 84% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Eros Amor
光与影之恋 Chiaroscuro Lovers $6.99 60 100% 1.8k $13k (exactly $12,582) 琉璃花糖制作组
Saku the Covert Agent $6.99 37 83% 1.1k $7.8k (exactly $7,759) Forward, 78Games
Earth Ten Days : 981Hz $6.99 35 82% 1.1k $7.3k (exactly $7,340) TinyBigger

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.